Oleksandr Usyk vs Daniel Dubois

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2025-07-19

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Usyk vs Dubois 19 Jul 2025 Result: Usyk Historical result Pick 83.00% Prediction: Correct Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Oleksandr Usyk (KO)

Historical lean Oleksandr Usyk 83.00%

Prediction result Correct

Usyk odds 1.2941

Dubois odds 4.2000

Usyk implied 77.27%

Dubois implied 23.81%

Closing odds 1.2941

Closing implied 77.27%

Expected return 1.0741

ROI 7.41%

Edge 5.73%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:19:55 UTC

Fighter details

Oleksandr Usyk

Score 85.59 · 25-0-0 (16 KO)

Full name Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk

Age 39 · Rank #1 · Confidence High 0.819

Stance Southpaw · H/R 191cm / 198cm · UA

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

Daniel Dubois

Score 66.36 · 23-3-0 (22 KO)

Full name Daniel Dubois

Age 28 · Rank #184 · Confidence Medium 0.662

Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 198cm · GB

WBO Heavyweight

Oleksandr Usyk

Full name: Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk
Age: 39
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 85.59
Fighter confidence: High 0.819
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 191cm / 198cm
Nationality: UA
Career snapshot: 25-0-0 (16 KO)

World titles

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

19 Jul 2025

Confirmed Result

Result

Usyk

Historical result

100% Usyk

0% Dubois

Fight result: Oleksandr Usyk (KO)
Historical lean: Oleksandr Usyk 83.00%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 83.00%
Closing odds: 1.2941
Closing implied: 77.27%
Expected ROI (1u): 7.41%
Value edge: 5.73%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:19:55 UTC

Daniel Dubois

Full name: Daniel Dubois
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #184
Current model score: 66.36
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.662
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 196cm / 198cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 23-3-0 (22 KO)

World titles

WBO Heavyweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.800

94.0 Dubois Confidence High 0.910

Punching Accuracy

92.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

74.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.640

Hand Speed

88.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

72.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.570

Pace Pressure

86.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.820

78.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

91.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.890

61.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.680

Distance Footwork Control

95.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.920

64.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring Iq Adaptability

96.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.930

69.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Punching

90.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

66.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

85.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.720

58.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.740

Cardio Engine

94.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

70.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.630

Style Profile Usyk: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Dubois: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.630

20.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.570

Out Boxer

34.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

5.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.740

Power Slugger

7.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.730

48.0 Dubois Confidence High 0.920

Boxer Puncher

39.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

22.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Puncher

12.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.680

5.0 Dubois Confidence Low 0.450

Stance Interaction Usyk vs orthodox · Dubois vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.790

72.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.690

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.790

28.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.690

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

66.67 Dubois

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

66.67 Dubois

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Usyk

66.67 Dubois

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.96 Usyk

84.51 Dubois

Trend Score Last 5

100 Usyk

80 Dubois

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

78.99 Dubois

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

76.81 Dubois

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Usyk

66.67 Dubois

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.96 Usyk

84.51 Dubois

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Usyk

80 Dubois

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Usyk stays in class.

Dubois stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Usyk height: 191.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Dubois height: 196.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Dubois.

Advantage: Dubois +5.0cm

Stance Interaction

Usyk vs orthodox: 68.0

Dubois vs southpaw: 28.0

Interaction: medium advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk

Style Interaction

Usyk style: Boxer Puncher

Dubois style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk