Oleksandr Usyk vs Anthony Joshua

Data as of: 2026-06-09 00:58:23 UTC Historical result As-of 2022-08-20

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Usyk vs Joshua 20 Aug 2022 Result: Usyk Historical result Pick 68.95% Prediction: Correct Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Oleksandr Usyk (S D)

Historical lean Oleksandr Usyk 68.95%

Prediction result Correct

Usyk odds 1.5000

Joshua odds 2.9800

Usyk implied 66.67%

Joshua implied 33.56%

Closing odds 1.5

Closing implied 66.67%

Expected return 1.0343

ROI 3.43%

Edge 2.29%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:22:51 UTC

Fighter details

Oleksandr Usyk

Score 84.90 · 25-0-0 (16 KO)

Full name Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk

Age 39 · Rank #1 · Confidence High 0.819

Stance Southpaw · H/R 191cm / 198cm · UA

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

Anthony Joshua

Score 65.20 · 29-4-0 (26 KO)

Full name Anthony Oluwafemi Olaseni Joshua

Age 36 · Rank #211 · Confidence High 0.752

Stance Orthodox · H/R 198cm / 208cm · GB

Oleksandr Usyk

Full name: Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk
Age: 39
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 84.90
Fighter confidence: High 0.819
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 191cm / 198cm
Nationality: UA
Career snapshot: 25-0-0 (16 KO)

World titles

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

20 Aug 2022

Confirmed Result

Result

Usyk

Historical result

100% Usyk

0% Joshua

Fight result: Oleksandr Usyk (S D)
Historical lean: Oleksandr Usyk 68.95%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 68.95%
Closing odds: 1.5
Closing implied: 66.67%
Expected ROI (1u): 3.43%
Value edge: 2.29%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:22:51 UTC

Anthony Joshua

Full name: Anthony Oluwafemi Olaseni Joshua
Age: 36
Fighter rank: #211
Current model score: 65.20
Fighter confidence: High 0.752
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 198cm / 208cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 29-4-0 (26 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.800

86.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.900

Punching Accuracy

92.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

76.4 Joshua Confidence High 0.760

Hand Speed

88.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

71.5 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.720

Pace Pressure

86.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.820

58.5 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

91.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.890

66.2 Joshua Confidence High 0.780

Distance Footwork Control

95.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.920

71.6 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.740

Ring Iq Adaptability

96.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.930

69.1 Joshua Confidence High 0.770

Counter Punching

90.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

73.5 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.710

Chin

85.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.720

61.8 Joshua Confidence High 0.800

Cardio Engine

94.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

57.2 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.740

Style Profile Usyk: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Joshua: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.630

10.0 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.620

Out Boxer

34.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

22.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.780

Power Slugger

7.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.730

28.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.860

Boxer Puncher

39.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

34.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.840

Counter Puncher

12.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.680

6.0 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.520

Stance Interaction Usyk vs orthodox · Joshua vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.790

68.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.760

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.790

32.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.760

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

66.67 Joshua

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

66.67 Joshua

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Usyk

33.33 Joshua

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.96 Usyk

55.42 Joshua

Trend Score Last 5

100 Usyk

80 Joshua

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

78.33 Joshua

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

73.33 Joshua

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Usyk

33.33 Joshua

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.96 Usyk

55.42 Joshua

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Usyk

80 Joshua

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Usyk stays in class.

Joshua stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Usyk height: 191.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Joshua height: 198.0cm reach: 208.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Joshua.

Advantage: Joshua +17.0cm

Stance Interaction

Usyk vs orthodox: 68.0

Joshua vs southpaw: 32.0

Interaction: medium advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk

Style Interaction

Usyk style: Boxer Puncher

Joshua style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral