Oleksandr Usyk vs Murat Gassiev

Data as of: 2026-06-09 00:58:23 UTC Historical result As-of 2018-07-21

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Usyk vs Gassiev 21 Jul 2018 Result: Usyk Historical result Pick 80.03% Prediction: Correct Cruiserweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Oleksandr Usyk (U D)

Historical lean Oleksandr Usyk 80.03%

Prediction result Correct

Usyk odds 1.9091

Gassiev odds 1.9524

Usyk implied 52.38%

Gassiev implied 51.22%

Closing odds 1.9091

Closing implied 52.38%

Expected return 1.5279

ROI 52.79%

Edge 27.65%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:26:05 UTC

Fighter details

Oleksandr Usyk

Score 85.39 · 25-0-0 (16 KO)

Full name Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk

Age 39 · Rank #1 · Confidence High 0.819

Stance Southpaw · H/R 191cm / 198cm · UA

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

Murat Gassiev

Score 73.05 · 33-2-0 (26 KO)

Full name Murat Georgievich Gassiev

Age 32 · Rank #67 · Confidence Medium 0.660

Stance Orthodox · H/R 189cm / 193cm · RU

Oleksandr Usyk

Full name: Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk
Age: 39
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 85.39
Fighter confidence: High 0.819
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 191cm / 198cm
Nationality: UA
Career snapshot: 25-0-0 (16 KO)

World titles

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

21 Jul 2018

Confirmed Result

Result

Usyk

Historical result

100% Usyk

0% Gassiev

Fight result: Oleksandr Usyk (U D)
Historical lean: Oleksandr Usyk 80.03%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 80.03%
Closing odds: 1.9091
Closing implied: 52.38%
Expected ROI (1u): 52.79%
Value edge: 27.65%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:26:05 UTC

Murat Gassiev

Full name: Murat Georgievich Gassiev
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #67
Current model score: 73.05
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.660
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 189cm / 193cm
Nationality: RU
Career snapshot: 33-2-0 (26 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.800

93.5 Gassiev Confidence High 0.840

Punching Accuracy

92.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

82.9 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.650

Hand Speed

88.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

75.3 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

86.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.820

80.9 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

91.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.890

78.1 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.600

Distance Footwork Control

95.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.920

71.2 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.660

Ring Iq Adaptability

96.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.930

72.6 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Punching

90.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

81.5 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.570

Chin

85.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.720

90.8 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

94.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

70.9 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Usyk: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Gassiev: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.630

18.0 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

34.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

6.0 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.740

Power Slugger

7.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.730

41.0 Gassiev Confidence High 0.880

Boxer Puncher

39.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

28.0 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Puncher

12.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.680

7.0 Gassiev Confidence Low 0.460

Stance Interaction Usyk vs orthodox · Gassiev vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.790

42.0 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.790

58.0 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

100 Gassiev

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

100 Gassiev

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Usyk

66.67 Gassiev

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.96 Usyk

49.33 Gassiev

Trend Score Last 5

100 Usyk

85 Gassiev

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

100 Gassiev

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

100 Gassiev

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Usyk

66.67 Gassiev

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.96 Usyk

49.53 Gassiev

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Usyk

85 Gassiev

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Usyk moves down 2 classes.

Gassiev moves down 2 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Usyk height: 191.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Gassiev height: 189.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk +7.0cm

Stance Interaction

Usyk vs orthodox: 68.0

Gassiev vs southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk

Style Interaction

Usyk style: Boxer Puncher

Gassiev style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk