Jesse Rodriguez vs Fernando Martinez

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2025-11-22

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Rodriguez vs Martinez 22 Nov 2025 Result: Franco Historical result Pick 73.12% Prediction: Correct Flyweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Jesse Franco (KO)

Historical lean Jesse Rodriguez 73.12%

Prediction result Correct

Rodriguez odds 1.0910

Martinez odds 13.0000

Rodriguez implied 91.66%

Martinez implied 7.69%

Closing odds 1.091

Closing implied 91.66%

Expected return 0.7978

ROI -20.22%

Edge -18.54%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:54:02 UTC

Fighter details

Jesse Rodriguez

Score 79.63 · 23-0-0 (16 KO)

Full name Jesse James Rodriguez Franco

Age 26 · Rank #6 · Confidence Medium 0.691

Stance Southpaw · H/R 163cm / 170cm · US

The Ring Super flyweight WBA Super flyweight WBC Super flyweight WBO Super flyweight

Fernando Martinez

Score 74.15 · 18-1-0 (9 KO)

Full name Fernando Daniel Martínez

Age 34 · Rank #47 · Confidence Medium 0.657

Stance Orthodox · H/R 157cm / 163cm · AR

Jesse Rodriguez

Full name: Jesse James Rodriguez Franco
Age: 26
Fighter rank: #6
Current model score: 79.63
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.691
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 163cm / 170cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 23-0-0 (16 KO)

World titles

The Ring Super flyweight WBA Super flyweight WBC Super flyweight WBO Super flyweight

22 Nov 2025

Confirmed Result

Result

Franco

Historical result

100% Rodriguez

0% Martinez

Fight result: Jesse Franco (KO)
Historical lean: Jesse Rodriguez 73.12%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 73.12%
Closing odds: 1.091
Closing implied: 91.66%
Expected ROI (1u): -20.22%
Value edge: -18.54%
Lean assessment: No Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:54:02 UTC

Fernando Martinez

Full name: Fernando Daniel Martínez
Age: 34
Fighter rank: #47
Current model score: 74.15
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.657
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 157cm / 163cm
Nationality: AR
Career snapshot: 18-1-0 (9 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Rodriguez Confidence High 0.800

72.4 Martinez Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

88.0 Rodriguez Confidence High 0.760

84.6 Martinez Confidence Medium 0.710

Hand Speed

90.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.720

84.5 Martinez Confidence Medium 0.680

Pace Pressure

85.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.740

83.7 Martinez Confidence High 0.860

Defensive Skill

84.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.700

80.4 Martinez Confidence Medium 0.670

Distance Footwork Control

87.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.730

78.8 Martinez Confidence Medium 0.640

Ring Iq Adaptability

91.0 Rodriguez Confidence High 0.790

81.7 Martinez Confidence High 0.780

Counter Punching

86.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.680

78.8 Martinez Confidence Medium 0.580

Chin

81.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.560

80.8 Martinez Confidence Medium 0.690

Cardio Engine

86.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.720

79.4 Martinez Confidence High 0.850

Style Profile Rodriguez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Martinez: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.580

42.0 Martinez Confidence Medium 0.730

Out Boxer

12.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.560

10.0 Martinez Confidence Low 0.420

Power Slugger

16.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.630

16.0 Martinez Confidence Medium 0.520

Boxer Puncher

42.0 Rodriguez Confidence High 0.780

28.0 Martinez Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Puncher

12.0 Rodriguez Confidence Low 0.450

4.0 Martinez Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Interaction Rodriguez vs orthodox · Martinez vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Rodriguez Confidence High 0.770

36.0 Martinez Confidence Medium 0.640

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Rodriguez Confidence High 0.770

64.0 Martinez Confidence Medium 0.640

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Rodriguez

66.67 Martinez

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Rodriguez

0 Martinez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Rodriguez

66.67 Martinez

Opponent Rating Last 3

66.29 Rodriguez

80.18 Martinez

Trend Score Last 5

100 Rodriguez

80 Martinez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Rodriguez

83.33 Martinez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Rodriguez

28.13 Martinez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Rodriguez

66.67 Martinez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

66.29 Rodriguez

80.18 Martinez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Rodriguez

90 Martinez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Rodriguez moves down 1 class.

Martinez moves down 1 class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Rodriguez height: 163.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Martinez height: 157.0cm reach: 163.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Rodriguez.

Advantage: Rodriguez +13.0cm

Stance Interaction

Rodriguez vs orthodox: 68.0

Martinez vs southpaw: 64.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Rodriguez style: Boxer Puncher

Martinez style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral