Dmitry Bivol vs Joe Smith

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bivol vs Jr. Model lean: Bivol Custom 67.42% ROI: N/A Light heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Dmitry Bivol 67.42%

Bivol odds N/A

Jr. odds N/A

Bivol implied N/A

Jr. implied N/A

Market odds N/A

Implied probability N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Dmitry Bivol

Score 79.29 · 25-1-0 (12 KO)

Full name Dmitry Yuryevich Bivol

Age 35 · Rank #9 · Confidence High 0.791

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 183cm · RU

The Ring Light heavyweight WBA Light heavyweight IBF Light heavyweight WBO Light heavyweight

Joe Smith Jr.

Score 57.17 · 28-5-0 (22 KO)

Full name Joe Smith Jr.

Age 36 · Rank #417 · Confidence Medium 0.616

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 193cm · US

Dmitry Bivol

Full name: Dmitry Yuryevich Bivol
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #9
Current model score: 79.29
Fighter confidence: High 0.791
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 183cm / 183cm
Nationality: RU
Career snapshot: 25-1-0 (12 KO)

World titles

The Ring Light heavyweight WBA Light heavyweight IBF Light heavyweight WBO Light heavyweight

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Bivol

Custom

67% Bivol

33% Smith Jr.

Model lean: Dmitry Bivol 67.42%
Win probability: 67.42%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

Joe Smith Jr.

Full name: Joe Smith Jr.
Age: 36
Fighter rank: #417
Current model score: 57.17
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.616
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 183cm / 193cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 28-5-0 (22 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

76.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.740

87.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.830

Punching Accuracy

87.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.840

66.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

85.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.810

61.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.470

Pace Pressure

78.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.730

74.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

90.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.860

54.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.660

Distance Footwork Control

92.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.880

56.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Ring Iq Adaptability

91.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.860

60.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter Punching

86.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.800

58.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.460

Chin

84.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.690

68.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.600

Cardio Engine

89.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.840

67.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.570

Style Profile Bivol: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Jr.: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.730

20.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

45.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.890

8.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

7.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.840

44.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.810

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.860

22.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

10.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.710

6.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.490

Stance Interaction Bivol vs orthodox · Jr. vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.680

68.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.680

32.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Bivol

33.33 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Bivol

33.33 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Bivol

0 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3

77.41 Bivol

72.28 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5

80 Bivol

60 Jr.

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Bivol

61.67 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

26.09 Bivol

51.67 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Bivol

0 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

77.41 Bivol

72.28 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Bivol

60 Jr.

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Bivol stays in class.

Jr. stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Bivol height: 183.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Jr. height: 183.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr. +10.0cm

Stance Interaction

Bivol vs orthodox: 42.0

Jr. vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.

Style Interaction

Bivol style: Out Boxer

Jr. style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Bivol.

Advantage: Bivol