Anthony Benavidez vs Osvary Gutierrez

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2025-02-01

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Benavidez vs Jr. 01 Feb 2025 Result: Benavidez Historical result Pick 54.48% Prediction: Incorrect Light heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Anthony Benavidez (U D)

Historical lean David Morrell 54.48%

Prediction result Incorrect

Benavidez odds 1.4000

Jr. odds 3.5000

Benavidez implied 71.43%

Jr. implied 28.57%

Closing odds 3.5

Closing implied 28.57%

Expected return 1.9066

ROI 90.66%

Edge 25.90%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-21 19:33:52 UTC

Fighter details

Anthony Benavidez

Score 76.06 · 33-0-0 (27 KO)

Full name Anthony David Benavidez

Age 29 · Rank #19 · Confidence Medium 0.681

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 189cm · US

WBA Cruiserweight WBC Light heavyweight WBO Cruiserweight

Osvary Gutierrez Jr.

Score 72.04 · 12-1-0 (9 KO)

Full name Osvary David Morrell Gutierrez Jr.

Age 28 · Rank #82 · Confidence Medium 0.649

Stance Southpaw · H/R 185cm / 196cm · CU

Anthony Benavidez

Full name: Anthony David Benavidez
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #19
Current model score: 76.06
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.681
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 185cm / 189cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 33-0-0 (27 KO)

World titles

WBA Cruiserweight WBC Light heavyweight WBO Cruiserweight

01 Feb 2025

Confirmed Result

Result

Benavidez

Historical result

100% Benavidez

0% Gutierrez Jr.

Fight result: Anthony Benavidez (U D)
Historical lean: David Morrell 54.48%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Historical win probability: 54.48%
Closing odds: 3.5
Closing implied: 28.57%
Expected ROI (1u): 90.66%
Value edge: 25.90%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-21 19:33:52 UTC

Osvary Gutierrez Jr.

Full name: Osvary David Morrell Gutierrez Jr.
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #82
Current model score: 72.04
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.649
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 185cm / 196cm
Nationality: CU
Career snapshot: 12-1-0 (9 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

91.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.820

87.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.820

Punching Accuracy

85.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.740

79.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.660

Hand Speed

84.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.680

82.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Pace Pressure

92.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.810

74.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.640

Defensive Skill

76.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.600

76.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.670

Distance Footwork Control

80.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.620

80.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.720

Ring Iq Adaptability

86.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.720

78.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Punching

78.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.550

81.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.690

Chin

82.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.580

73.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.550

Cardio Engine

87.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.730

77.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Style Profile Benavidez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Jr.: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

28.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.700

12.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.460

Out Boxer

10.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.520

18.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

24.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.750

23.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer Puncher

32.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.800

37.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.770

Counter Puncher

6.0 Benavidez Confidence Low 0.400

10.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.380

Stance Interaction Benavidez vs southpaw · Jr. vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.780

58.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.640

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.780

42.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.640

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Benavidez

66.67 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Benavidez

0 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Benavidez

33.33 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3

78.09 Benavidez

75.86 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5

100 Benavidez

80 Jr.

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Benavidez

83.33 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

74.71 Benavidez

45 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Benavidez

33.33 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

78.09 Benavidez

75.86 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Benavidez

90 Jr.

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Benavidez moves down 1 class.

Jr. stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.

Height Reach Delta

Benavidez height: 185.0cm reach: 189.0cm

Jr. height: 185.0cm reach: 196.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr. +7.0cm

Stance Interaction

Benavidez vs southpaw: 58.0

Jr. vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Benavidez style: Boxer Puncher

Jr. style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral