Teófimo López vs Josh Taylor

Data as of: 2026-06-09 00:58:23 UTC Historical result As-of 2023-06-10

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

López vs Taylor 10 Jun 2023 Result: Rivera Historical result Pick 68.17% Prediction: Incorrect Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Teófimo Rivera (U D)

Historical lean Josh Taylor 68.17%

Prediction result Incorrect

López odds 3.0000

Taylor odds 1.5882

López implied 33.33%

Taylor implied 62.96%

Closing odds 1.5882

Closing implied 62.96%

Expected return 1.0826

ROI 8.26%

Edge 5.20%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 13:00:01 UTC

Fighter details

Teófimo López

Score 73.23 · 22-2-0 (13 KO)

Full name Teófimo Andrés López Rivera

Age 28 · Rank #58 · Confidence Medium 0.695

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 174cm · US

Josh Taylor

Score 78.32 · 19-3-0 (13 KO)

Full name Josh Taylor

Age 35 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.718

Stance Southpaw · H/R 178cm / 177cm · GB

Teófimo López

Full name: Teófimo Andrés López Rivera
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #58
Current model score: 73.23
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.695
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 174cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 22-2-0 (13 KO)

10 Jun 2023

Confirmed Result

Result

Rivera

Historical result

100% López

0% Taylor

Fight result: Teófimo Rivera (U D)
Historical lean: Josh Taylor 68.17%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Historical win probability: 68.17%
Closing odds: 1.5882
Closing implied: 62.96%
Expected ROI (1u): 8.26%
Value edge: 5.20%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 13:00:01 UTC

Josh Taylor

Full name: Josh Taylor
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #2
Current model score: 78.32
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.718
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 178cm / 177cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 19-3-0 (13 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 López Confidence High 0.790

81.1 Taylor Confidence High 0.820

Punching Accuracy

87.1 López Confidence Medium 0.690

85.8 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.730

Hand Speed

92.1 López Confidence High 0.760

88.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.700

Pace Pressure

54.8 López Confidence Medium 0.710

91.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.780

Defensive Skill

85.8 López Confidence Medium 0.680

79.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.680

Distance Footwork Control

81.1 López Confidence Medium 0.660

82.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.700

Ring Iq Adaptability

74.5 López Confidence Medium 0.670

90.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.800

Counter Punching

92.1 López Confidence High 0.750

86.7 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.690

Chin

86.0 López Confidence Medium 0.640

91.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.760

Cardio Engine

67.3 López Confidence Medium 0.670

92.8 Taylor Confidence High 0.830

Style Profile López: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Taylor: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 López Confidence Medium 0.540

18.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.580

Out Boxer

22.0 López Confidence Medium 0.710

14.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.660

Power Slugger

18.0 López Confidence Medium 0.720

16.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.710

Boxer Puncher

37.0 López Confidence High 0.800

38.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.840

Counter Puncher

15.0 López Confidence Medium 0.640

14.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.530

Stance Interaction López vs southpaw · Taylor vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 López Confidence Medium 0.690

64.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.700

Vs Southpaw

58.0 López Confidence Medium 0.690

36.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.700

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 López

0 Taylor

Ko Rate Last 3

0 López

0 Taylor

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 López

33.33 Taylor

Opponent Rating Last 3

74.67 López

73.87 Taylor

Trend Score Last 5

80 López

40 Taylor

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.95 López

50 Taylor

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30.95 López

34.21 Taylor

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 López

33.33 Taylor

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

74.67 López

73.87 Taylor

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 López

70 Taylor

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

López stays in class.

Taylor stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

López height: 173.0cm reach: 174.0cm

Taylor height: 178.0cm reach: 177.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Taylor.

Advantage: Taylor +8.0cm

Stance Interaction

López vs southpaw: 58.0

Taylor vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: low advantage Taylor.

Advantage: Taylor

Style Interaction

López style: Boxer Puncher

Taylor style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral