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Álvarez vs Plant 06 Nov 2021 Result: Barragán Historical result Pick 58.77% Prediction: Incorrect Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Santos Barragán (TKO)

Historical lean Caleb Plant 58.77%

Prediction result Incorrect

Álvarez odds 1.1250

Plant odds 8.0000

Álvarez implied 88.89%

Plant implied 12.50%

Closing odds 8

Closing implied 12.50%

Expected return 4.7019

ROI 370.19%

Edge 46.27%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:23:31 UTC

Fighter details
Canelo Álvarez
Canelo Álvarez

Score 81.24 · 63-3-2 (39 KO)

Full name Santos Saúl Álvarez Barragán

Age 35 · Rank #11 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Orthodox · H/R 171cm / 179cm · MX

CP
Caleb Plant

Score 68.35 · 23-3-0 (14 KO)

Full name Caleb Hunter Plant

Age 33 · Rank #180 · Confidence Medium 0.656

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 188cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

83.7 Álvarez Confidence High 0.840

60.6 Plant Confidence Medium 0.710

Punching Accuracy

88.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.850

77.1 Plant Confidence Medium 0.720

Hand Speed

84.8 Álvarez Confidence High 0.770

90.0 Plant Confidence High 0.790

Pace Pressure

76.2 Álvarez Confidence High 0.780

45.3 Plant Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

88.4 Álvarez Confidence High 0.860

86.3 Plant Confidence High 0.760

Distance Footwork Control

85.2 Álvarez Confidence High 0.790

86.6 Plant Confidence High 0.770

Ring Iq Adaptability

88.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.880

71.5 Plant Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Punching

88.6 Álvarez Confidence High 0.880

84.5 Plant Confidence Medium 0.720

Chin

88.4 Álvarez Confidence High 0.830

68.4 Plant Confidence Medium 0.610

Cardio Engine

76.9 Álvarez Confidence High 0.760

65.3 Plant Confidence Medium 0.690

Style Profile Álvarez: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Plant: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Álvarez Confidence Medium 0.630

8.0 Plant Confidence Low 0.430

Out Boxer

11.0 Álvarez Confidence Medium 0.550

42.0 Plant Confidence High 0.790

Power Slugger

20.0 Álvarez Confidence Medium 0.730

10.0 Plant Confidence Medium 0.550

Boxer Puncher

37.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.830

30.0 Plant Confidence High 0.750

Counter Puncher

18.0 Álvarez Confidence Medium 0.680

10.0 Plant Confidence Low 0.460

Stance Interaction Álvarez vs orthodox  ·  Plant vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.750

72.0 Plant Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.750

28.0 Plant Confidence Low 0.420

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Álvarez

33.33 Plant

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Álvarez

33.33 Plant

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Álvarez

33.33 Plant

Opponent Rating Last 3

71.73 Álvarez

70.77 Plant

Trend Score Last 5

80 Álvarez

40 Plant

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.26 Álvarez

64.49 Plant

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30 Álvarez

44.93 Plant

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Álvarez

33.33 Plant

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

71.73 Álvarez

70.77 Plant

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Álvarez

70 Plant

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Álvarez moves down 1 class.

Plant moves down 1 class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Álvarez height: 171.0cm reach: 179.0cm

Plant height: 185.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Plant.

Advantage: Plant +23.0cm

Stance Interaction

Álvarez vs orthodox: 58.0

Plant vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: low advantage Plant.

Advantage: Plant

Style Interaction

Álvarez style: Boxer Puncher

Plant style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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