Daniel Dubois vs Anthony Joshua

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2024-09-21

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Dubois vs Joshua 21 Sep 2024 Result: Dubois Historical result Pick 67.70% Prediction: Incorrect Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Daniel Dubois (KO)

Historical lean Anthony Joshua 67.70%

Prediction result Incorrect

Dubois odds 4.8000

Joshua odds 1.2857

Dubois implied 20.83%

Joshua implied 77.78%

Closing odds 1.2857

Closing implied 77.78%

Expected return 0.8704

ROI -12.96%

Edge -10.08%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:20:46 UTC

Fighter details

Daniel Dubois

Score 65.85 · 23-3-0 (22 KO)

Full name Daniel Dubois

Age 28 · Rank #184 · Confidence Medium 0.662

Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 198cm · GB

WBO Heavyweight

Anthony Joshua

Score 66.18 · 29-4-0 (26 KO)

Full name Anthony Oluwafemi Olaseni Joshua

Age 36 · Rank #211 · Confidence High 0.752

Stance Orthodox · H/R 198cm / 208cm · GB

Daniel Dubois

Full name: Daniel Dubois
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #184
Current model score: 65.85
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.662
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 196cm / 198cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 23-3-0 (22 KO)

World titles

WBO Heavyweight

21 Sep 2024

Confirmed Result

Result

Dubois

Historical result

100% Dubois

0% Joshua

Fight result: Daniel Dubois (KO)
Historical lean: Anthony Joshua 67.70%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Historical win probability: 67.70%
Closing odds: 1.2857
Closing implied: 77.78%
Expected ROI (1u): -12.96%
Value edge: -10.08%
Lean assessment: No Value

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:20:46 UTC

Anthony Joshua

Full name: Anthony Oluwafemi Olaseni Joshua
Age: 36
Fighter rank: #211
Current model score: 66.18
Fighter confidence: High 0.752
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 198cm / 208cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 29-4-0 (26 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

94.0 Dubois Confidence High 0.910

86.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.900

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.640

76.4 Joshua Confidence High 0.760

Hand Speed

72.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.570

71.5 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.720

Pace Pressure

78.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.720

58.5 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

61.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.680

66.2 Joshua Confidence High 0.780

Distance Footwork Control

64.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.560

71.6 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.740

Ring Iq Adaptability

69.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.620

69.1 Joshua Confidence High 0.770

Counter Punching

66.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.500

73.5 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.710

Chin

58.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.740

61.8 Joshua Confidence High 0.800

Cardio Engine

70.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.630

57.2 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.740

Style Profile Dubois: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher vs Joshua: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

20.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.570

10.0 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.620

Out Boxer

5.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.740

22.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.780

Power Slugger

48.0 Dubois Confidence High 0.920

28.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.860

Boxer Puncher

22.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.630

34.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.840

Counter Puncher

5.0 Dubois Confidence Low 0.450

6.0 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.520

Stance Interaction Dubois vs orthodox · Joshua vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.690

68.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.760

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.690

32.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.760

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Dubois

66.67 Joshua

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Dubois

66.67 Joshua

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Dubois

33.33 Joshua

Opponent Rating Last 3

84.51 Dubois

55.42 Joshua

Trend Score Last 5

80 Dubois

80 Joshua

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

78.99 Dubois

78.33 Joshua

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

76.81 Dubois

73.33 Joshua

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Dubois

33.33 Joshua

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

84.51 Dubois

55.42 Joshua

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Dubois

80 Joshua

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Dubois stays in class.

Joshua stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Dubois height: 196.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Joshua height: 198.0cm reach: 208.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Joshua.

Advantage: Joshua +12.0cm

Stance Interaction

Dubois vs orthodox: 72.0

Joshua vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Dubois style: Power Slugger

Joshua style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Joshua.

Advantage: Joshua