Joseph Parker vs Zhilei Zhang

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2024-03-08

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Parker vs Zhang 08 Mar 2024 Result: Parker Historical result Pick 55.87% Prediction: Correct Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Joseph Parker (M D)

Historical lean Joseph Parker 55.87%

Prediction result Correct

Parker odds 2.9500

Zhang odds 1.5714

Parker implied 33.90%

Zhang implied 63.64%

Closing odds 2.95

Closing implied 33.90%

Expected return 1.6481

ROI 64.81%

Edge 21.97%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:21:21 UTC

Fighter details

Joseph Parker

Score 79.66 · 36-4-0 (24 KO)

Full name Joseph Dennis Parker

Age 34 · Rank #14 · Confidence Medium 0.703

Stance Orthodox · H/R 193cm / 193cm · NZ

Zhilei Zhang

Score 60.93 · 27-3-1 (22 KO)

Full name Zhilei Zhang

Age 43 · Rank #388 · Confidence Medium 0.649

Stance Southpaw · H/R 198cm / 203cm · CN

Joseph Parker

Full name: Joseph Dennis Parker
Age: 34
Fighter rank: #14
Current model score: 79.66
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.703
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 193cm / 193cm
Nationality: NZ
Career snapshot: 36-4-0 (24 KO)

08 Mar 2024

Confirmed Result

Result

Parker

Historical result

100% Parker

0% Zhang

Fight result: Joseph Parker (M D)
Historical lean: Joseph Parker 55.87%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 55.87%
Closing odds: 2.95
Closing implied: 33.90%
Expected ROI (1u): 64.81%
Value edge: 21.97%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:21:21 UTC

Zhilei Zhang

Full name: Zhilei Zhang
Age: 43
Fighter rank: #388
Current model score: 60.93
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.649
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 198cm / 203cm
Nationality: CN
Career snapshot: 27-3-1 (22 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

80.0 Parker Confidence High 0.800

89.9 Zhang Confidence High 0.860

Punching Accuracy

86.2 Parker Confidence Medium 0.720

71.4 Zhang Confidence Medium 0.690

Hand Speed

93.8 Parker Confidence High 0.780

69.6 Zhang Confidence Medium 0.630

Pace Pressure

73.3 Parker Confidence Medium 0.670

42.5 Zhang Confidence Medium 0.670

Defensive Skill

88.3 Parker Confidence High 0.760

56.0 Zhang Confidence Medium 0.660

Distance Footwork Control

87.8 Parker Confidence High 0.760

55.7 Zhang Confidence Medium 0.640

Ring Iq Adaptability

90.5 Parker Confidence High 0.790

62.5 Zhang Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Punching

89.9 Parker Confidence Medium 0.730

85.3 Zhang Confidence Medium 0.730

Chin

82.9 Parker Confidence Medium 0.680

65.7 Zhang Confidence Medium 0.640

Cardio Engine

86.1 Parker Confidence High 0.770

40.7 Zhang Confidence Medium 0.740

Style Profile Parker: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Zhang: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.530

12.0 Zhang Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

24.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.680

16.0 Zhang Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

16.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.630

32.0 Zhang Confidence High 0.790

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Parker Confidence High 0.760

28.0 Zhang Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Puncher

14.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.550

12.0 Zhang Confidence Low 0.470

Stance Interaction Parker vs southpaw · Zhang vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.670

72.0 Zhang Confidence Medium 0.710

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.670

28.0 Zhang Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Parker

33.33 Zhang

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Parker

33.33 Zhang

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Parker

0 Zhang

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.48 Parker

80.16 Zhang

Trend Score Last 5

80 Parker

60 Zhang

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.28 Parker

63.1 Zhang

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

47.75 Parker

54.17 Zhang

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Parker

0 Zhang

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.48 Parker

80.16 Zhang

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Parker

65 Zhang

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Parker stays in class.

Zhang stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Parker height: 193.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Zhang height: 198.0cm reach: 203.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Zhang.

Advantage: Zhang +15.0cm

Stance Interaction

Parker vs southpaw: 42.0

Zhang vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: medium advantage Zhang.

Advantage: Zhang

Style Interaction

Parker style: Boxer Puncher

Zhang style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Parker.

Advantage: Parker