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Parker vs Wardley 25 Oct 2025 Result: Wardley Historical result Pick 62.80% Prediction: Incorrect Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Fabio Wardley (TKO)

Historical lean Joseph Parker 62.80%

Prediction result Incorrect

Parker odds 1.2941

Wardley odds 4.4000

Parker implied 77.27%

Wardley implied 22.73%

Closing odds 1.2941

Closing implied 77.27%

Expected return 0.8127

ROI -18.73%

Edge -14.47%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:19:43 UTC

Fighter details
Joseph Parker
Joseph Parker

Score 79.37 · 36-4-0 (24 KO)

Full name Joseph Dennis Parker

Age 34 · Rank #14 · Confidence Medium 0.703

Stance Orthodox · H/R 193cm / 193cm · NZ

FW
Fabio Wardley

Score 67.44 · 20-1-1 (19 KO)

Full name Fabio Wardley

Age 31 · Rank #119 · Confidence Medium 0.608

Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 198cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

80.0 Parker Confidence High 0.800

92.0 Wardley Confidence High 0.870

Punching Accuracy

86.2 Parker Confidence Medium 0.720

78.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

93.8 Parker Confidence High 0.780

74.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

73.3 Parker Confidence Medium 0.670

81.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

88.3 Parker Confidence High 0.760

64.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.570

Distance Footwork Control

87.8 Parker Confidence High 0.760

69.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.520

Ring Iq Adaptability

90.5 Parker Confidence High 0.790

76.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Punching

89.9 Parker Confidence Medium 0.730

71.0 Wardley Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

82.9 Parker Confidence Medium 0.680

70.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.560

Cardio Engine

86.1 Parker Confidence High 0.770

77.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Parker: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Wardley: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.530

18.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.580

Out Boxer

24.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.680

6.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

16.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.630

44.0 Wardley Confidence High 0.820

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Parker Confidence High 0.760

24.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter Puncher

14.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.550

8.0 Wardley Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Interaction Parker vs orthodox  ·  Wardley vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.670

58.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.610

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.670

42.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.610

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Parker

66.67 Wardley

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Parker

66.67 Wardley

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Parker

100 Wardley

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.48 Parker

79.26 Wardley

Trend Score Last 5

80 Parker

70 Wardley

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.28 Parker

80.7 Wardley

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

47.75 Parker

78.07 Wardley

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Parker

100 Wardley

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.48 Parker

79.26 Wardley

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Parker

85 Wardley

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Parker stays in class.

Wardley stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Parker height: 193.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Wardley height: 196.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Wardley.

Advantage: Wardley +8.0cm

Stance Interaction

Parker vs orthodox: 58.0

Wardley vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Parker style: Boxer Puncher

Wardley style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Parker.

Advantage: Parker

Model: FiteQuant

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