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Bakole vs Ajagba 03 May 2025 Model lean: Ajagba Custom 61.43% ROI: 99.66% Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Efe Ajagba 61.43%

Bakole odds 1.4000

Ajagba odds 3.2500

Bakole implied 71.43%

Ajagba implied 30.77%

Market odds 3.25

Implied probability 30.77%

Expected return 1.9966

ROI 99.66%

Edge 30.66%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:20:10 UTC

Fighter details
MB
Martin Bakole

Score 56.21 · 21-2-1 (16 KO)

Full name Martin Bakole Ilunga

Age 33 · Rank #425 · Confidence Medium 0.557

Stance Orthodox · H/R 198cm / 208cm · CD

EA
Efe Ajagba

Score 62.37 · 21-1-1 (15 KO)

Full name Efe Ajagba

Age 32 · Rank #274 · Confidence Medium 0.591

Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 216cm · NG

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Bakole Confidence High 0.790

84.5 Ajagba Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

69.7 Bakole Confidence Medium 0.620

71.6 Ajagba Confidence Medium 0.600

Hand Speed

60.9 Bakole Confidence Medium 0.520

67.0 Ajagba Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

65.8 Bakole Confidence Medium 0.610

56.0 Ajagba Confidence Medium 0.580

Defensive Skill

55.4 Bakole Confidence Medium 0.560

71.0 Ajagba Confidence Medium 0.550

Distance Footwork Control

59.7 Bakole Confidence Medium 0.560

71.5 Ajagba Confidence Medium 0.570

Ring Iq Adaptability

59.4 Bakole Confidence Medium 0.580

68.1 Ajagba Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter Punching

64.6 Bakole Confidence Medium 0.500

65.5 Ajagba Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

52.0 Bakole Confidence Medium 0.570

79.8 Ajagba Confidence Medium 0.560

Cardio Engine

54.3 Bakole Confidence Medium 0.590

63.9 Ajagba Confidence Medium 0.630

Style Profile Bakole: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Ajagba: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Bakole Confidence Low 0.450

12.0 Ajagba Confidence Low 0.460

Out Boxer

10.0 Bakole Confidence Low 0.380

20.0 Ajagba Confidence Medium 0.620

Power Slugger

31.0 Bakole Confidence Medium 0.730

31.0 Ajagba Confidence High 0.750

Boxer Puncher

33.0 Bakole Confidence Medium 0.670

29.0 Ajagba Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Puncher

8.0 Bakole Confidence Low 0.280

8.0 Ajagba Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Interaction Bakole vs orthodox  ·  Ajagba vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Bakole Confidence Medium 0.620

62.0 Ajagba Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Bakole Confidence Low 0.440

38.0 Ajagba Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Bakole

66.67 Ajagba

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Bakole

33.33 Ajagba

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Bakole

66.67 Ajagba

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.95 Bakole

59.87 Ajagba

Trend Score Last 5

70 Bakole

90 Ajagba

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

64.29 Bakole

80.83 Ajagba

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

52.38 Bakole

51.67 Ajagba

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Bakole

66.67 Ajagba

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.95 Bakole

59.87 Ajagba

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Bakole

90 Ajagba

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Bakole stays in class.

Ajagba stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Bakole height: 198.0cm reach: 208.0cm

Ajagba height: 196.0cm reach: 216.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Ajagba.

Advantage: Ajagba +6.0cm

Stance Interaction

Bakole vs orthodox: 62.0

Ajagba vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Bakole style: Boxer Puncher

Ajagba style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Bakole.

Advantage: Bakole

Model: FiteQuant

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