OWN YOUR EDGE
Jara vs Rozicki 07 May 2022 Model pick: Rozicki Historical result 51.54% ROI: -31.28% Cruiserweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Ryan Rozicki 51.54%

Jara odds 4.1000

Rozicki odds 1.3333

Jara implied 24.39%

Rozicki implied 75.00%

Market odds 1.3333

Implied probability 75.00%

Expected return 0.6872

ROI -31.28%

Edge -23.46%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:23:07 UTC

Fighter details
YJ
Yamil Jara

Score 63.48 · 17-1-1 (9 KO)

Full name Yamil Alberto Peralta Jara

Age 34 · Rank #317 · Confidence Medium 0.546

Stance Orthodox · H/R 189cm / N/A · AR

RR
Ryan Rozicki

Score 62.51 · 21-2-1 (20 KO)

Full name Ryan Joseph Rozicki

Age 31 · Rank #241 · Confidence Medium 0.599

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 196cm · CA

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

73.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.680

92.0 Rozicki Confidence High 0.860

Punching Accuracy

67.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.520

72.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.530

Hand Speed

61.0 Jara Confidence Low 0.400

67.0 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

66.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.500

84.0 Rozicki Confidence High 0.750

Defensive Skill

69.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.580

58.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.570

Distance Footwork Control

72.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.620

60.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring Iq Adaptability

74.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.660

64.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter Punching

65.0 Jara Confidence Low 0.440

61.0 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.400

Chin

71.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.560

71.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.530

Cardio Engine

76.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.700

68.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.590

Style Profile Jara: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Rozicki: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Jara Confidence Low 0.410

26.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.710

Out Boxer

21.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.560

4.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.560

Power Slugger

17.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.520

44.0 Rozicki Confidence High 0.840

Boxer Puncher

36.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.690

18.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Puncher

12.0 Jara Confidence Low 0.320

8.0 Rozicki Confidence Low 0.490

Stance Interaction Jara vs orthodox  ·  Rozicki vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.560

68.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Jara Confidence Medium 0.560

32.0 Rozicki Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Jara

33.33 Rozicki

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Jara

33.33 Rozicki

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Jara

100 Rozicki

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.84 Jara

72.06 Rozicki

Trend Score Last 5

90 Jara

50 Rozicki

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.21 Jara

62.12 Rozicki

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

41.67 Jara

59.85 Rozicki

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Jara

100 Rozicki

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.84 Jara

72.06 Rozicki

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Jara

75 Rozicki

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Jara stays in class.

Rozicki stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Jara height: 189.0cm reach: N/A

Rozicki height: 187.9cm reach: 196.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Jara vs orthodox: 42.0

Rozicki vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Rozicki.

Advantage: Rozicki

Style Interaction

Jara style: Boxer Puncher

Rozicki style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Jara.

Advantage: Jara

Model: FiteQuant

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