Model:

Conor Wallace vs Jerome Pampellone

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2024-08-28

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Wallace vs Pampellone 28 Aug 2024 Result: Wallace Historical result Pick 91.64% Prediction: Incorrect Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Conor Wallace (S D)

Historical lean Jerome Pampellone 91.64%

Prediction result Incorrect

Wallace odds 2.2500

Pampellone odds 1.8000

Wallace implied 44.44%

Pampellone implied 55.56%

Closing odds 1.8

Closing implied 55.56%

Expected return 1.6495

ROI 64.95%

Edge 36.09%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:20:52 UTC

Fighter details

CW

Conor Wallace

Score 10.39 · 16-1-0 (11 KO)

Full name Conor Wallace

Age 30 · Rank #577 · Confidence N/A

Stance Southpaw · H/R 192cm / N/A · N/A

JP

Jerome Pampellone

Score 50.30 · 19-3-0 (12 KO)

Full name Jerome Mandela Joseph-Pampellone

Age 29 · Rank #522 · Confidence Medium 0.541

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 190cm · NZ

CW

Conor Wallace

Full name: Conor Wallace
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #577
Current model score: 10.39
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 192cm / N/A
Nationality: N/A
Career snapshot: 16-1-0 (11 KO)

28 Aug 2024

Confirmed Result

Result

Wallace

Historical result

100% Wallace

0% Pampellone

Fight result: Conor Wallace (S D)
Historical lean: Jerome Pampellone 91.64%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Historical win probability: 91.64%
Closing odds: 1.8
Closing implied: 55.56%
Expected ROI (1u): 64.95%
Value edge: 36.09%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-03-23 16:20:52 UTC

JP

Jerome Pampellone

Full name: Jerome Mandela Joseph-Pampellone
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #522
Current model score: 50.30
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.541
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 183cm / 190cm
Nationality: NZ
Career snapshot: 19-3-0 (12 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

63.8 Pampellone Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

52.5 Pampellone Confidence Medium 0.550

Hand Speed

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

53.7 Pampellone Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

50.2 Pampellone Confidence Medium 0.560

Defensive Skill

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

57.1 Pampellone Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

55.1 Pampellone Confidence Medium 0.520

Ring Iq Adaptability

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

52.2 Pampellone Confidence Medium 0.570

Counter Punching

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

46.2 Pampellone Confidence Low 0.410

Chin

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

53.1 Pampellone Confidence Medium 0.530

Cardio Engine

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

54.8 Pampellone Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Wallace: Boxer Puncher vs Pampellone: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

18.0 Pampellone Confidence Low 0.430

Out Boxer

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

20.0 Pampellone Confidence Medium 0.520

Power Slugger

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

24.0 Pampellone Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer Puncher

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

30.0 Pampellone Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Puncher

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

8.0 Pampellone Confidence Low 0.270

Stance Interaction Wallace vs orthodox · Pampellone vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

38.0 Pampellone Confidence Medium 0.560

Vs Southpaw

N/A Wallace Confidence No Data

62.0 Pampellone Confidence Medium 0.560

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Wallace

33.33 Pampellone

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Wallace

33.33 Pampellone

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Wallace

33.33 Pampellone

Opponent Rating Last 3

58.09 Wallace

66.78 Pampellone

Trend Score Last 5

100 Wallace

40 Pampellone

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Wallace

64.04 Pampellone

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

52.38 Wallace

45.61 Pampellone

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Wallace

33.33 Pampellone

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

58.09 Wallace

66.78 Pampellone

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Wallace

70 Pampellone

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Wallace moves up 3 classes.

Pampellone moves up 3 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Wallace height: 192.0cm reach: N/A

Pampellone height: 183.0cm reach: 190.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Wallace vs orthodox: N/A

Pampellone vs southpaw: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Wallace style: Boxer Puncher

Pampellone style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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