Christian M'billi vs Carlos Mercado

Data as of: 2026-06-09 00:58:23 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

M'billi vs Mercado Model lean: Mercado Custom 56.99% ROI: N/A Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Carlos Mercado 56.99%

M'billi odds N/A

Mercado odds N/A

M'billi implied N/A

Mercado implied N/A

Market odds N/A

Implied probability N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Christian M'billi

Score 69.23 · 29-0-1 (24 KO)

Full name Christian Mbilli Assomo-Hallier

Age 31 · Rank #105 · Confidence Medium 0.578

Stance Orthodox · H/R 174cm / 183cm · CA

Carlos Mercado

Score 59.72 · 22-4-0 (17 KO)

Full name Carlos Gongora Mercado

Age 37 · Rank #376 · Confidence Medium 0.567

Stance Southpaw · H/R 185cm / 183cm · EC

Christian M'billi

Full name: Christian Mbilli Assomo-Hallier
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #105
Current model score: 69.23
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.578
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 174cm / 183cm
Nationality: CA
Career snapshot: 29-0-1 (24 KO)

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Mercado

Custom

43% M'billi

57% Mercado

Model lean: Carlos Mercado 56.99%
Win probability: 56.99%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

Carlos Mercado

Full name: Carlos Gongora Mercado
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #376
Current model score: 59.72
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.567
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 185cm / 183cm
Nationality: EC
Career snapshot: 22-4-0 (17 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

90.0 M'billi Confidence High 0.840

82.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

78.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.620

71.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

79.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.560

68.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

85.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.740

66.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.550

Defensive Skill

72.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.450

61.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.540

Distance Footwork Control

74.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.480

60.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.490

Ring Iq Adaptability

77.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.570

64.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter Punching

73.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.430

67.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

76.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.420

78.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.670

Cardio Engine

80.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.630

72.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.620

Style Profile M'billi: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Mercado: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.600

14.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.420

Out Boxer

8.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.420

16.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.470

Power Slugger

30.0 M'billi Confidence High 0.750

29.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.680

Boxer Puncher

32.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.720

33.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Puncher

6.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.340

8.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.310

Stance Interaction M'billi vs southpaw · Mercado vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

63.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.630

64.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

37.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.630

36.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 M'billi

33.33 Mercado

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 M'billi

33.33 Mercado

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 M'billi

0 Mercado

Opponent Rating Last 3

64.52 M'billi

69.49 Mercado

Trend Score Last 5

90 M'billi

40 Mercado

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 M'billi

64.39 Mercado

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

59.26 M'billi

53.03 Mercado

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 M'billi

0 Mercado

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

64.52 M'billi

69.49 Mercado

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95 M'billi

70 Mercado

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

M'billi stays in class.

Mercado stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

M'billi height: 174.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Mercado height: 185.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Mercado.

Advantage: Mercado +11.0cm

Stance Interaction

M'billi vs southpaw: 37.0

Mercado vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: medium advantage Mercado.

Advantage: Mercado

Style Interaction

M'billi style: Boxer Puncher

Mercado style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral