Christian M'billi vs Lester Tut

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

M'billi vs Tut 13 Sep 2025 Model lean: Tut Custom 54.44% ROI: 27.94% Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Lester Tut 54.44%

M'billi odds 1.7692

Tut odds 2.3500

M'billi implied 56.52%

Tut implied 42.55%

Market odds 2.35

Implied probability 42.55%

Expected return 1.2794

ROI 27.94%

Edge 11.89%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:19:48 UTC

Fighter details

Christian M'billi

Score 69.23 · 29-0-1 (24 KO)

Full name Christian Mbilli Assomo-Hallier

Age 31 · Rank #105 · Confidence Medium 0.578

Stance Orthodox · H/R 174cm / 183cm · CA

Lester Tut

Score 72.80 · 21-0-1 (16 KO)

Full name Lester Normandy Martínez Tut

Age 30 · Rank #57 · Confidence Medium 0.590

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 182cm · US

Christian M'billi

Full name: Christian Mbilli Assomo-Hallier
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #105
Current model score: 69.23
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.578
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 174cm / 183cm
Nationality: CA
Career snapshot: 29-0-1 (24 KO)

13 Sep 2025

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Tut

Custom

46% M'billi

54% Tut

Model lean: Lester Tut 54.44%
Win probability: 54.44%
Market odds: 2.35
Implied probability: 42.55%
Expected ROI (1u): 27.94%
Value edge: 11.89%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:19:48 UTC

Lester Tut

Full name: Lester Normandy Martínez Tut
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #57
Current model score: 72.80
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.590
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 182cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 21-0-1 (16 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

90.0 M'billi Confidence High 0.840

84.5 Tut Confidence High 0.820

Punching Accuracy

78.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.620

81.6 Tut Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

79.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.560

78.1 Tut Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

85.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.740

85.2 Tut Confidence Medium 0.650

Defensive Skill

72.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.450

79.9 Tut Confidence Medium 0.520

Distance Footwork Control

74.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.480

81.5 Tut Confidence Medium 0.580

Ring Iq Adaptability

77.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.570

84.6 Tut Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Punching

73.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.430

78.7 Tut Confidence Low 0.430

Chin

76.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.420

86.7 Tut Confidence Medium 0.540

Cardio Engine

80.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.630

85.2 Tut Confidence Medium 0.710

Style Profile M'billi: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Tut: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.600

14.0 Tut Confidence Low 0.460

Out Boxer

8.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.420

18.0 Tut Confidence Medium 0.570

Power Slugger

30.0 M'billi Confidence High 0.750

27.0 Tut Confidence Medium 0.740

Boxer Puncher

32.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.720

34.0 Tut Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Puncher

6.0 M'billi Confidence Low 0.340

7.0 Tut Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Interaction M'billi vs orthodox · Tut vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

63.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.630

68.0 Tut Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

37.0 M'billi Confidence Medium 0.630

32.0 Tut Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 M'billi

66.67 Tut

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 M'billi

0 Tut

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 M'billi

100 Tut

Opponent Rating Last 3

64.52 M'billi

62.33 Tut

Trend Score Last 5

90 M'billi

90 Tut

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 M'billi

83.33 Tut

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

59.26 M'billi

42.11 Tut

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 M'billi

100 Tut

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

64.52 M'billi

62.33 Tut

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95 M'billi

95 Tut

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

M'billi stays in class.

Tut stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

M'billi height: 174.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Tut height: 173.0cm reach: 182.0cm

Interaction: low advantage M'billi.

Advantage: M'billi +2.0cm

Stance Interaction

M'billi vs orthodox: 63.0

Tut vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Tut.

Advantage: Tut

Style Interaction

M'billi style: Boxer Puncher

Tut style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral