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Tut vs Mercado Model lean: Mercado Custom 55.56% ROI: N/A Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Carlos Mercado 55.56%

Tut odds N/A

Mercado odds N/A

Tut implied N/A

Mercado implied N/A

Market odds N/A

Implied probability N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details
Lester Tut
Lester Tut

Score 72.80 · 21-0-1 (16 KO)

Full name Lester Normandy Martínez Tut

Age 30 · Rank #57 · Confidence Medium 0.590

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 182cm · US

CM
Carlos Mercado

Score 59.72 · 22-4-0 (17 KO)

Full name Carlos Gongora Mercado

Age 37 · Rank #376 · Confidence Medium 0.567

Stance Southpaw · H/R 185cm / 183cm · EC

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Tut Confidence High 0.820

82.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

81.6 Tut Confidence Medium 0.620

71.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

78.1 Tut Confidence Medium 0.500

68.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

85.2 Tut Confidence Medium 0.650

66.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.550

Defensive Skill

79.9 Tut Confidence Medium 0.520

61.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.540

Distance Footwork Control

81.5 Tut Confidence Medium 0.580

60.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.490

Ring Iq Adaptability

84.6 Tut Confidence Medium 0.670

64.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter Punching

78.7 Tut Confidence Low 0.430

67.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

86.7 Tut Confidence Medium 0.540

78.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.670

Cardio Engine

85.2 Tut Confidence Medium 0.710

72.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.620

Style Profile Tut: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Mercado: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Tut Confidence Low 0.460

14.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.420

Out Boxer

18.0 Tut Confidence Medium 0.570

16.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.470

Power Slugger

27.0 Tut Confidence Medium 0.740

29.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.680

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Tut Confidence Medium 0.700

33.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Puncher

7.0 Tut Confidence Low 0.280

8.0 Mercado Confidence Low 0.310

Stance Interaction Tut vs southpaw  ·  Mercado vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Tut Confidence Medium 0.620

64.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Tut Confidence Medium 0.620

36.0 Mercado Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Tut

33.33 Mercado

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Tut

33.33 Mercado

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Tut

0 Mercado

Opponent Rating Last 3

62.33 Tut

69.49 Mercado

Trend Score Last 5

90 Tut

40 Mercado

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Tut

64.39 Mercado

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

42.11 Tut

53.03 Mercado

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Tut

0 Mercado

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

62.33 Tut

69.49 Mercado

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95 Tut

70 Mercado

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Tut stays in class.

Mercado stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Tut height: 173.0cm reach: 182.0cm

Mercado height: 185.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Mercado.

Advantage: Mercado +13.0cm

Stance Interaction

Tut vs southpaw: 32.0

Mercado vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: medium advantage Mercado.

Advantage: Mercado

Style Interaction

Tut style: Boxer Puncher

Mercado style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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