Hamzah Sheeraz vs Carlos Adames

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Sheeraz vs Adames 22 Feb 2025 Model lean: Sheeraz Custom 75.34% ROI: 5.47% Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Model lean Hamzah Sheeraz 75.34%

Sheeraz odds 1.4000

Adames odds 3.9000

Sheeraz implied 71.43%

Adames implied 25.64%

Market odds 1.4

Implied probability 71.43%

Expected return 1.0547

ROI 5.47%

Edge 3.91%

Lean Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:20:23 UTC

Fighter details

Hamzah Sheeraz

Score 73.05 · 24-0-1 (20 KO)

Full name Mohammed Hamzah Sheeraz

Age 27 · Rank #75 · Confidence Medium 0.581

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 191cm · GB

WBO Super middleweight

Carlos Adames

Score 67.85 · 25-1-1 (18 KO)

Full name Carlos Adames

Age 32 · Rank #137 · Confidence Medium 0.589

Stance Switch · H/R 180cm / 185cm · DO

WBC Middleweight

Hamzah Sheeraz

Full name: Mohammed Hamzah Sheeraz
Age: 27
Fighter rank: #75
Current model score: 73.05
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.581
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 191cm / 191cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 24-0-1 (20 KO)

World titles

WBO Super middleweight

22 Feb 2025

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Sheeraz

Custom

75% Sheeraz

25% Adames

Model lean: Hamzah Sheeraz 75.34%
Win probability: 75.34%
Market odds: 1.4
Implied probability: 71.43%
Expected ROI (1u): 5.47%
Value edge: 3.91%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:20:23 UTC

Carlos Adames

Full name: Carlos Adames
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #137
Current model score: 67.85
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.589
Stance: Switch
Height/Reach: 180cm / 185cm
Nationality: DO
Career snapshot: 25-1-1 (18 KO)

World titles

WBC Middleweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

88.0 Sheeraz Confidence High 0.840

84.0 Adames Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

81.0 Sheeraz Confidence Medium 0.690

75.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

76.0 Sheeraz Confidence Medium 0.580

77.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.520

Pace Pressure

72.0 Sheeraz Confidence Medium 0.600

79.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.670

Defensive Skill

74.0 Sheeraz Confidence Medium 0.560

72.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.550

Distance Footwork Control

80.0 Sheeraz Confidence Medium 0.680

74.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.530

Ring Iq Adaptability

79.0 Sheeraz Confidence Medium 0.650

78.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.650

Counter Punching

73.0 Sheeraz Confidence Medium 0.500

71.0 Adames Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

78.0 Sheeraz Confidence Medium 0.520

76.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.600

Cardio Engine

77.0 Sheeraz Confidence Medium 0.630

81.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.720

Style Profile Sheeraz: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Adames: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Sheeraz Confidence Low 0.360

22.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.560

Out Boxer

20.0 Sheeraz Confidence Low 0.420

12.0 Adames Confidence Low 0.480

Power Slugger

27.0 Sheeraz Confidence Medium 0.660

24.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer Puncher

31.0 Sheeraz Confidence Medium 0.580

34.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Puncher

8.0 Sheeraz Confidence Very Low 0.240

8.0 Adames Confidence Low 0.350

Stance Interaction Sheeraz vs switch stance · Adames vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Sheeraz Confidence Medium 0.680

58.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Sheeraz Confidence Medium 0.680

42.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Sheeraz

66.67 Adames

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Sheeraz

0 Adames

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Sheeraz

33.33 Adames

Opponent Rating Last 3

81.55 Sheeraz

73.61 Adames

Trend Score Last 5

90 Sheeraz

90 Adames

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Sheeraz

81.25 Adames

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

73.81 Sheeraz

37.5 Adames

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Sheeraz

33.33 Adames

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

81.55 Sheeraz

73.61 Adames

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95 Sheeraz

90 Adames

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Sheeraz stays in class.

Adames moves up 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Sheeraz.

Advantage: Sheeraz

Height Reach Delta

Sheeraz height: 191.0cm reach: 191.0cm

Adames height: 180.0cm reach: 185.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Sheeraz.

Advantage: Sheeraz +17.0cm

Stance Interaction

Sheeraz vs switch stance: 50.0

Adames vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Adames.

Advantage: Adames

Style Interaction

Sheeraz style: Boxer Puncher

Adames style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral