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Adames vs Williams 21 Mar 2026 Result: Adames Historical result Pick 50.45% Prediction: Correct Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Carlos Adames (U D)

Historical lean Carlos Adames 50.45%

Prediction result Correct

Adames odds 1.2857

Williams odds 4.0000

Adames implied 77.78%

Williams implied 25.00%

Closing odds 1.2857

Closing implied 77.78%

Expected return 0.6486

ROI -35.14%

Edge -27.33%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:52:56 UTC

Fighter details
Carlos Adames
Carlos Adames

Score 67.31 · 25-1-1 (18 KO)

Full name Carlos Adames

Age 32 · Rank #137 · Confidence Medium 0.589

Stance Switch · H/R 180cm / 185cm · DO

WBC Middleweight
AW
Austin Williams

Score 68.61 · 20-1-0 (13 KO)

Full name Austin Williams

Age 30 · Rank #124 · Confidence Medium 0.581

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / N/A · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Adames Confidence High 0.760

80.1 Williams Confidence High 0.750

Punching Accuracy

75.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.580

78.8 Williams Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

77.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.520

83.6 Williams Confidence Medium 0.600

Pace Pressure

79.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.670

87.1 Williams Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

72.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.550

74.2 Williams Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

74.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.530

75.4 Williams Confidence Medium 0.570

Ring Iq Adaptability

78.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.650

72.6 Williams Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Punching

71.0 Adames Confidence Low 0.470

75.1 Williams Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

76.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.600

70.4 Williams Confidence Medium 0.580

Cardio Engine

81.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.720

75.6 Williams Confidence Medium 0.690

Style Profile Adames: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Williams: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

22.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.560

18.0 Williams Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

12.0 Adames Confidence Low 0.480

22.0 Williams Confidence Medium 0.500

Power Slugger

24.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.630

16.0 Williams Confidence Low 0.460

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.710

34.0 Williams Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Puncher

8.0 Adames Confidence Low 0.350

10.0 Williams Confidence Low 0.270

Stance Interaction Adames vs orthodox  ·  Williams vs switch stance Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.620

38.0 Williams Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Adames Confidence Medium 0.620

62.0 Williams Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Adames

100 Williams

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Adames

33.33 Williams

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Adames

66.67 Williams

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.61 Adames

50 Williams

Trend Score Last 5

90 Adames

85 Williams

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

81.25 Adames

100 Williams

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

37.5 Adames

50 Williams

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Adames

66.67 Williams

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.61 Adames

50 Williams

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Adames

92.5 Williams

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Adames stays in class.

Williams stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Adames height: 180.0cm reach: 185.0cm

Williams height: 183.0cm reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Adames vs orthodox: 58.0

Williams vs switch stance: 50.0

Interaction: low advantage Adames.

Advantage: Adames

Style Interaction

Adames style: Boxer Puncher

Williams style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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