Fight result Erislandy Santoya (TKO)
Historical lean Erislandy Lara 87.76%
Prediction result Correct
Lara odds 1.2985
Zerafa odds 4.0000
Lara implied 77.01%
Zerafa implied 25.00%
Closing odds 1.2985
Closing implied 77.01%
Expected return 1.1396
ROI 13.96%
Edge 10.75%
Lean Value
Bout Historical result
Closing odds captured 2026-04-23 19:12:22 UTC
Score 78.42 · 32-3-3 (19 KO)
Full name Erislandy Lara Santoya
Age 43 · Rank #10 · Confidence High 0.769
Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 192cm · US
Score 57.59 · 33-5-0 (21 KO)
Full name Michael Zerafa
Age 34 · Rank #423 · Confidence Medium 0.576
Stance Orthodox · H/R 177cm / 182cm · AU
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring Iq Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer Puncher
Counter Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Lara stays in class.
Zerafa stays in class.
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Height Reach Delta
Lara height: 175.0cm reach: 192.0cm
Zerafa height: 177.0cm reach: 182.0cm
Interaction: medium advantage Lara.
Advantage: Lara +8.0cm
Stance Interaction
Lara vs orthodox: 62.0
Zerafa vs southpaw: 34.0
Interaction: medium advantage Lara.
Advantage: Lara
Style Interaction
Lara style: Out Boxer
Zerafa style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
