Liam Smith vs Sam Eggington

Data as of: 2026-06-09 00:58:23 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Smith vs Eggington Model lean: Smith Custom 65.03% ROI: N/A Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Model lean Liam Smith 65.03%

Smith odds N/A

Eggington odds N/A

Smith implied N/A

Eggington implied N/A

Market odds N/A

Implied probability N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Liam Smith

Score 62.19 · 33-5-1 (20 KO)

Full name Liam Mark Smith

Age 37 · Rank #278 · Confidence Medium 0.675

Stance Orthodox · H/R 177cm / 175cm · GB

Sam Eggington

Score 54.26 · 36-9-0 (20 KO)

Full name Sam Eggington

Age 32 · Rank #463 · Confidence Medium 0.556

Stance Orthodox · H/R 180cm / N/A · GB

Liam Smith

Full name: Liam Mark Smith
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #278
Current model score: 62.19
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.675
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 177cm / 175cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 33-5-1 (20 KO)

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Smith

Custom

65% Smith

35% Eggington

Model lean: Liam Smith 65.03%
Win probability: 65.03%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

Sam Eggington

Full name: Sam Eggington
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #463
Current model score: 54.26
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.556
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 180cm / N/A
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 36-9-0 (20 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

68.4 Smith Confidence High 0.790

72.0 Eggington Confidence Medium 0.680

Punching Accuracy

69.8 Smith Confidence Medium 0.700

62.0 Eggington Confidence Low 0.480

Hand Speed

62.3 Smith Confidence Medium 0.610

57.0 Eggington Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

81.8 Smith Confidence High 0.800

78.0 Eggington Confidence Medium 0.700

Defensive Skill

68.3 Smith Confidence Medium 0.680

49.0 Eggington Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

62.8 Smith Confidence Medium 0.620

53.0 Eggington Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring Iq Adaptability

71.6 Smith Confidence Medium 0.740

64.0 Eggington Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Punching

76.5 Smith Confidence Medium 0.660

55.0 Eggington Confidence Low 0.400

Chin

62.2 Smith Confidence Medium 0.730

60.0 Eggington Confidence Medium 0.640

Cardio Engine

64.4 Smith Confidence Medium 0.710

73.0 Eggington Confidence Medium 0.720

Style Profile Smith: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Eggington: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

26.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.630

30.0 Eggington Confidence Medium 0.580

Out Boxer

8.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.550

9.0 Eggington Confidence Low 0.450

Power Slugger

18.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.660

24.0 Eggington Confidence Medium 0.620

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.730

32.0 Eggington Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Puncher

14.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.520

5.0 Eggington Confidence Low 0.350

Stance Interaction Smith vs orthodox · Eggington vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.670

57.0 Eggington Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.670

43.0 Eggington Confidence Medium 0.520

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Smith

66.67 Eggington

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Smith

0 Eggington

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Smith

0 Eggington

Opponent Rating Last 3

76.8 Smith

59.33 Eggington

Trend Score Last 5

60 Smith

80 Eggington

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

61.11 Smith

73.81 Eggington

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

43.06 Smith

23.81 Eggington

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Smith

0 Eggington

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

76.8 Smith

59.33 Eggington

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 Smith

80 Eggington

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Smith stays in class.

Eggington moves up 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Smith.

Advantage: Smith

Height Reach Delta

Smith height: 177.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Eggington height: 180.0cm reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Smith vs orthodox: 62.0

Eggington vs orthodox: 57.0

Interaction: low advantage Smith.

Advantage: Smith

Style Interaction

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Eggington style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral