Janibek Alimkhanuly vs Vincenzo Gualtieri

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Alimkhanuly vs Gualtieri Model lean: Alimkhanuly Custom 77.55% ROI: N/A Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Janibek Alimkhanuly 77.55%

Alimkhanuly odds N/A

Gualtieri odds N/A

Alimkhanuly implied N/A

Gualtieri implied N/A

Market odds N/A

Implied probability N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Janibek Alimkhanuly

Score 76.05 · 17-0-0 (12 KO)

Full name Janibek Alimkhanuly

Age 33 · Rank #26 · Confidence Medium 0.670

Stance Southpaw · H/R 182cm / 182cm · KZ

IBF Middleweight WBO Middleweight

Vincenzo Gualtieri

Score 57.99 · 25-1-1 (8 KO)

Full name Vincenzo Gualtieri

Age 33 · Rank #402 · Confidence Medium 0.559

Stance Orthodox · H/R 179cm / N/A · DE

Janibek Alimkhanuly

Full name: Janibek Alimkhanuly
Age: 33
Fighter rank: #26
Current model score: 76.05
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.670
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 182cm / 182cm
Nationality: KZ
Career snapshot: 17-0-0 (12 KO)

World titles

IBF Middleweight WBO Middleweight

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Alimkhanuly

Custom

78% Alimkhanuly

22% Gualtieri

Model lean: Janibek Alimkhanuly 77.55%
Win probability: 77.55%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

Vincenzo Gualtieri

Full name: Vincenzo Gualtieri
Age: 33
Fighter rank: #402
Current model score: 57.99
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.559
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 179cm / N/A
Nationality: DE
Career snapshot: 25-1-1 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

75.2 Alimkhanuly Confidence High 0.810

58.0 Gualtieri Confidence Medium 0.710

Punching Accuracy

84.6 Alimkhanuly Confidence Medium 0.740

69.0 Gualtieri Confidence Medium 0.540

Hand Speed

86.3 Alimkhanuly Confidence Medium 0.640

63.0 Gualtieri Confidence Low 0.410

Pace Pressure

83.7 Alimkhanuly Confidence Medium 0.680

66.0 Gualtieri Confidence Medium 0.580

Defensive Skill

87.6 Alimkhanuly Confidence Medium 0.620

65.0 Gualtieri Confidence Low 0.480

Distance Footwork Control

84.9 Alimkhanuly Confidence Medium 0.720

68.0 Gualtieri Confidence Medium 0.520

Ring Iq Adaptability

81.7 Alimkhanuly Confidence High 0.780

72.0 Gualtieri Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter Punching

88.0 Alimkhanuly Confidence Medium 0.700

61.0 Gualtieri Confidence Low 0.370

Chin

85.4 Alimkhanuly Confidence Medium 0.550

60.0 Gualtieri Confidence Medium 0.500

Cardio Engine

79.4 Alimkhanuly Confidence Medium 0.660

74.0 Gualtieri Confidence Medium 0.730

Style Profile Alimkhanuly: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Gualtieri: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Alimkhanuly Confidence Medium 0.530

14.0 Gualtieri Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

18.0 Alimkhanuly Confidence Medium 0.620

41.0 Gualtieri Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

22.0 Alimkhanuly Confidence Medium 0.680

8.0 Gualtieri Confidence High 0.800

Boxer Puncher

36.0 Alimkhanuly Confidence High 0.800

29.0 Gualtieri Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Puncher

10.0 Alimkhanuly Confidence Low 0.420

8.0 Gualtieri Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Interaction Alimkhanuly vs orthodox · Gualtieri vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Alimkhanuly Confidence Medium 0.720

41.0 Gualtieri Confidence Medium 0.560

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Alimkhanuly Confidence Medium 0.720

59.0 Gualtieri Confidence Medium 0.560

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Alimkhanuly

100 Gualtieri

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Alimkhanuly

33.33 Gualtieri

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Alimkhanuly

33.33 Gualtieri

Opponent Rating Last 3

66.15 Alimkhanuly

50 Gualtieri

Trend Score Last 5

100 Alimkhanuly

85 Gualtieri

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Alimkhanuly

100 Gualtieri

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Alimkhanuly

33.33 Gualtieri

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Alimkhanuly

33.33 Gualtieri

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

66.15 Alimkhanuly

51.09 Gualtieri

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Alimkhanuly

92.5 Gualtieri

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Alimkhanuly stays in class.

Gualtieri stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Alimkhanuly height: 182.0cm reach: 182.0cm

Gualtieri height: 179.0cm reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Alimkhanuly vs orthodox: 72.0

Gualtieri vs southpaw: 59.0

Interaction: low advantage Alimkhanuly.

Advantage: Alimkhanuly

Style Interaction

Alimkhanuly style: Boxer Puncher

Gualtieri style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral