Xander Zayas vs Slawa Spomer

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2025-02-14

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Zayas vs Spomer 14 Feb 2025 Result: Castro Historical result Pick 68.24% Prediction: Correct Super welterweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Xander Castro (TKO)

Historical lean Xander Zayas 68.24%

Prediction result Correct

Zayas odds 1.1333

Spomer odds 7.0000

Zayas implied 88.24%

Spomer implied 14.29%

Closing odds 1.1333

Closing implied 88.24%

Expected return 0.7734

ROI -22.66%

Edge -19.99%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:56:11 UTC

Fighter details

Xander Zayas

Score 69.32 · 23-0-0 (13 KO)

Full name Xander Yarob Zayas Castro

Age 23 · Rank #101 · Confidence Medium 0.606

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 188cm · PR

WBA Super welterweight WBO Super welterweight

Slawa Spomer

Score 57.37 · 9-1-0 (11 KO)

Full name Slawa Spomer

Age 33 · Rank #441 · Confidence Medium 0.535

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 188cm · DE

Xander Zayas

Full name: Xander Yarob Zayas Castro
Age: 23
Fighter rank: #101
Current model score: 69.32
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.606
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / 188cm
Nationality: PR
Career snapshot: 23-0-0 (13 KO)

World titles

WBA Super welterweight WBO Super welterweight

14 Feb 2025

Confirmed Result

Result

Castro

Historical result

100% Zayas

0% Spomer

Fight result: Xander Castro (TKO)
Historical lean: Xander Zayas 68.24%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 68.24%
Closing odds: 1.1333
Closing implied: 88.24%
Expected ROI (1u): -22.66%
Value edge: -19.99%
Lean assessment: No Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:56:11 UTC

Slawa Spomer

Full name: Slawa Spomer
Age: 33
Fighter rank: #441
Current model score: 57.37
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.535
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / 188cm
Nationality: DE
Career snapshot: 9-1-0 (11 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

74.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.690

65.7 Spomer Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.630

66.6 Spomer Confidence Medium 0.610

Hand Speed

79.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.580

63.5 Spomer Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

72.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.600

62.0 Spomer Confidence Medium 0.580

Defensive Skill

77.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.640

61.2 Spomer Confidence Medium 0.550

Distance Footwork Control

80.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.670

60.6 Spomer Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring Iq Adaptability

82.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.710

62.0 Spomer Confidence Medium 0.590

Counter Punching

73.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.520

61.6 Spomer Confidence Low 0.450

Chin

76.0 Zayas Confidence Low 0.490

52.8 Spomer Confidence Low 0.480

Cardio Engine

81.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.730

63.1 Spomer Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Zayas: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Spomer: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Zayas Confidence Low 0.440

12.0 Spomer Confidence Low 0.340

Out Boxer

25.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.620

18.0 Spomer Confidence Medium 0.560

Power Slugger

15.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.580

20.0 Spomer Confidence Medium 0.550

Boxer Puncher

38.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.730

42.0 Spomer Confidence Medium 0.730

Counter Puncher

10.0 Zayas Confidence Low 0.330

8.0 Spomer Confidence Very Low 0.240

Stance Interaction Zayas vs orthodox · Spomer vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.670

68.0 Spomer Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Zayas Confidence Medium 0.670

32.0 Spomer Confidence Low 0.370

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Zayas

66.67 Spomer

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Zayas

66.67 Spomer

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Zayas

33.33 Spomer

Opponent Rating Last 3

65.82 Zayas

54.24 Spomer

Trend Score Last 5

100 Zayas

80 Spomer

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Zayas

83.33 Spomer

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Zayas

66.67 Spomer

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Zayas

33.33 Spomer

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

65.82 Zayas

54.24 Spomer

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Zayas

90 Spomer

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Zayas stays in class.

Spomer stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Zayas height: 178.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Spomer height: 178.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral 0.0cm

Stance Interaction

Zayas vs orthodox: 72.0

Spomer vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Zayas style: Boxer Puncher

Spomer style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral