Fight result Errol Spence (KO)
Historical lean Errol Spence 87.07%
Prediction result Correct
Ocampo odds 51.0000
Jr. odds 1.0100
Ocampo implied 1.96%
Jr. implied 99.01%
Closing odds 1.01
Closing implied 99.01%
Expected return 0.8794
ROI -12.06%
Edge -11.94%
Lean No Value
Bout Historical result
Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 13:09:56 UTC
Score 50.28 · 38-4-0 (26 KO)
Full name Carlos Cesar Ocampo Manriquez
Age 30 · Rank #511 · Confidence Medium 0.549
Stance Orthodox · H/R 179cm / 185cm · MX
Score 78.65 · 28-1-0 (22 KO)
Full name Errol Spence Jr.
Age 36 · Rank #25 · Confidence Medium 0.699
Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 183cm · US
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring Iq Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer Puncher
Counter Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Ocampo moves down 1 class.
Jr. stays in class.
Interaction: low advantage Jr..
Advantage: Jr.
Height Reach Delta
Ocampo height: 179.0cm reach: 185.0cm
Jr. height: 175.0cm reach: 183.0cm
Interaction: medium advantage Ocampo.
Advantage: Ocampo +6.0cm
Stance Interaction
Ocampo vs southpaw: 38.0
Jr. vs orthodox: 72.0
Interaction: medium advantage Jr..
Advantage: Jr.
Style Interaction
Ocampo style: Boxer Puncher
Jr. style: Pressure Swarmer
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
