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Jr. vs Sasaki 19 Jun 2025 Model pick: Norman Historical result 62.75% ROI: -24.70% Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Brian Norman 62.75%

Jr. odds 1.2000

Sasaki odds 5.6000

Jr. implied 83.33%

Sasaki implied 17.86%

Market odds 1.2

Implied probability 83.33%

Expected return 0.7530

ROI -24.70%

Edge -20.59%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:55:05 UTC

Fighter details
BJ
Brian Norman Jr.

Score 69.30 · 28-1-0 (22 KO)

Full name Brian Norman Jr.

Age 25 · Rank #102 · Confidence Medium 0.568

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 183cm · US

JS
Jin Sasaki

Score 64.61 · 20-2-1 (18 KO)

Full name Jin Sasaki

Age 24 · Rank #254 · Confidence Medium 0.603

Stance Orthodox · H/R 174cm / 176cm · JP

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

86.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.810

90.0 Sasaki Confidence High 0.870

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

74.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

77.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.550

77.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

74.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

82.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

72.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.520

58.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.630

Distance Footwork Control

76.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.560

66.0 Sasaki Confidence Low 0.480

Ring Iq Adaptability

79.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

69.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.540

Counter Punching

75.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.490

64.0 Sasaki Confidence Low 0.420

Chin

78.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.540

57.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.660

Cardio Engine

77.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.600

71.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.620

Style Profile Jr.: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Sasaki: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.420

24.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

11.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.460

8.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.560

Power Slugger

31.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.730

37.0 Sasaki Confidence High 0.790

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.690

26.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Puncher

10.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.280

5.0 Sasaki Confidence Low 0.370

Stance Interaction Jr. vs orthodox  ·  Sasaki vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

38.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

58.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

62.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

42.0 Sasaki Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Jr.

66.67 Sasaki

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Jr.

33.33 Sasaki

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Jr.

66.67 Sasaki

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.17 Jr.

63.49 Sasaki

Trend Score Last 5

80 Jr.

80 Sasaki

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Jr.

78.33 Sasaki

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

71.79 Jr.

59.17 Sasaki

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Jr.

66.67 Sasaki

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.17 Jr.

63.49 Sasaki

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Jr.

85.63 Sasaki

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Jr. stays in class.

Sasaki stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Jr. height: 173.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Sasaki height: 174.0cm reach: 176.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr. +6.0cm

Stance Interaction

Jr. vs orthodox: 38.0

Sasaki vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: medium advantage Sasaki.

Advantage: Sasaki

Style Interaction

Jr. style: Boxer Puncher

Sasaki style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.

Model: FiteQuant

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