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Santillan vs Rocha 21 Oct 2023 Result: Santillan Historical result Pick 54.59% Prediction: Correct Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Giovani Santillan (KO)

Historical lean Giovani Santillan 54.59%

Prediction result Correct

Santillan odds 5.3000

Rocha odds 1.2128

Santillan implied 18.87%

Rocha implied 82.45%

Closing odds 5.3

Closing implied 18.87%

Expected return 2.8934

ROI 189.34%

Edge 35.72%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:59:16 UTC

Fighter details
GS
Giovani Santillan

Score 67.43 · 35-1-0 (18 KO)

Full name Giovani Santillan

Age 34 · Rank #143 · Confidence Medium 0.603

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 174cm · US

AR
Alexis Rocha

Score 58.36 · 19-2-1 (16 KO)

Full name Alexis Rocha

Age 28 · Rank #282 · Confidence Medium 0.628

Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

70.3 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.730

68.9 Rocha Confidence High 0.750

Punching Accuracy

80.9 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.610

72.8 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

73.5 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.500

70.1 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.550

Pace Pressure

86.5 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.680

81.5 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

76.5 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.630

68.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.740

Distance Footwork Control

74.3 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.540

69.2 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.620

Ring Iq Adaptability

76.9 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.620

66.7 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.650

Counter Punching

72.4 Santillan Confidence Low 0.450

70.3 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.540

Chin

66.3 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.660

60.7 Rocha Confidence High 0.800

Cardio Engine

83.5 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.700

74.1 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.700

Style Profile Santillan: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Rocha: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.530

21.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.580

Out Boxer

20.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.580

10.0 Rocha Confidence Low 0.430

Power Slugger

12.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.620

18.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer Puncher

42.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.720

39.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Puncher

8.0 Santillan Confidence Low 0.340

12.0 Rocha Confidence Low 0.380

Stance Interaction Santillan vs southpaw  ·  Rocha vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.670

58.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Santillan Confidence Medium 0.670

42.0 Rocha Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Santillan

66.67 Rocha

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Santillan

0 Rocha

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Santillan

33.33 Rocha

Opponent Rating Last 3

48 Santillan

60.39 Rocha

Trend Score Last 5

85 Santillan

73.75 Rocha

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Santillan

78.07 Rocha

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

42.42 Santillan

18.42 Rocha

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Santillan

33.33 Rocha

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

48 Santillan

60.39 Rocha

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

92.5 Santillan

86.88 Rocha

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Santillan stays in class.

Rocha stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Santillan height: 173.0cm reach: 174.0cm

Rocha height: 175.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Rocha.

Advantage: Rocha +6.0cm

Stance Interaction

Santillan vs southpaw: 36.0

Rocha vs southpaw: 42.0

Interaction: low advantage Rocha.

Advantage: Rocha

Style Interaction

Santillan style: Boxer Puncher

Rocha style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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