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Catterall vs Jr. 15 Feb 2025 Result: Barboza Historical result Pick 72.86% Prediction: Correct Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Arnold Barboza (S D)

Historical lean Arnold Barboza 72.86%

Prediction result Correct

Catterall odds 1.4444

Jr. odds 3.1000

Catterall implied 69.23%

Jr. implied 32.26%

Closing odds 3.1

Closing implied 32.26%

Expected return 2.2588

ROI 125.88%

Edge 40.61%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:56:10 UTC

Fighter details
JC
Jack Catterall

Score 73.37 · 33-2-0 (14 KO)

Full name Jack Catterall

Age 32 · Rank #38 · Confidence Medium 0.702

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / 170cm · GB

AJ
Arnold Barboza Jr.

Score 76.02 · 33-1-0 (11 KO)

Full name Arnold Barboza Jr.

Age 34 · Rank #35 · Confidence Medium 0.666

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 183cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

68.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.730

54.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

82.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.770

83.4 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.670

Hand Speed

77.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.670

81.2 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.610

Pace Pressure

69.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.690

76.3 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

84.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.800

90.8 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.710

Distance Footwork Control

81.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.750

89.2 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.720

Ring Iq Adaptability

86.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.810

91.9 Jr. Confidence High 0.760

Counter Punching

83.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.770

88.6 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Chin

79.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.720

90.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.640

Cardio Engine

82.0 Catterall Confidence High 0.780

93.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.780

Style Profile Catterall: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Jr.: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Catterall Confidence Low 0.440

8.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.460

Out Boxer

34.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.730

42.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.760

Power Slugger

10.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.660

6.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.820

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.710

31.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Puncher

18.0 Catterall Confidence Low 0.490

13.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.450

Stance Interaction Catterall vs orthodox  ·  Jr. vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.710

42.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Catterall Confidence Medium 0.710

58.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Catterall

66.67 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Catterall

0 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Catterall

66.67 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3

79.63 Catterall

70.87 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5

85 Catterall

80 Jr.

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Catterall

83.33 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

36.36 Catterall

17.74 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Catterall

66.67 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

79.63 Catterall

70.87 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Catterall

90 Jr.

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Catterall moves down 1 class.

Jr. stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.

Height Reach Delta

Catterall height: 170.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Jr. height: 175.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr. +18.0cm

Stance Interaction

Catterall vs orthodox: 68.0

Jr. vs southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Catterall.

Advantage: Catterall

Style Interaction

Catterall style: Out Boxer

Jr. style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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