Steve Claggett vs Mathieu Germain

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2021-05-15

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Claggett vs Germain 15 May 2021 Result: Germain Historical result Pick 58.44% Prediction: Incorrect Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Mathieu Germain (S D)

Historical lean Steve Claggett 58.44%

Prediction result Incorrect

Claggett odds 1.3333

Germain odds 3.5000

Claggett implied 75.00%

Germain implied 28.57%

Closing odds 1.3333

Closing implied 75.00%

Expected return 0.7792

ROI -22.08%

Edge -16.56%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 13:04:17 UTC

Fighter details

Steve Claggett

Score 58.86 · 40-9-2 (28 KO)

Full name Steve Claggett

Age 36 · Rank #354 · Confidence Medium 0.599

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 178cm · CA

Mathieu Germain

Score 51.18 · 26-3-1 (11 KO)

Full name Mathieu Germain

Age N/A · Rank #485 · Confidence Medium 0.529

Stance Orthodox · H/R N/A / N/A · CA

Steve Claggett

Full name: Steve Claggett
Age: 36
Fighter rank: #354
Current model score: 58.86
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.599
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 178cm
Nationality: CA
Career snapshot: 40-9-2 (28 KO)

15 May 2021

Confirmed Result

Result

Germain

Historical result

0% Claggett

100% Germain

Fight result: Mathieu Germain (S D)
Historical lean: Steve Claggett 58.44%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Historical win probability: 58.44%
Closing odds: 1.3333
Closing implied: 75.00%
Expected ROI (1u): -22.08%
Value edge: -16.56%
Lean assessment: No Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 13:04:17 UTC

Mathieu Germain

Full name: Mathieu Germain
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #485
Current model score: 51.18
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.529
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: N/A / N/A
Nationality: CA
Career snapshot: 26-3-1 (11 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

77.0 Claggett Confidence High 0.780

46.8 Germain Confidence Medium 0.670

Punching Accuracy

66.0 Claggett Confidence Medium 0.560

54.8 Germain Confidence Medium 0.530

Hand Speed

63.0 Claggett Confidence Low 0.480

47.9 Germain Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

79.0 Claggett Confidence Medium 0.740

62.5 Germain Confidence Medium 0.580

Defensive Skill

58.0 Claggett Confidence Medium 0.620

63.7 Germain Confidence Medium 0.560

Distance Footwork Control

57.0 Claggett Confidence Medium 0.550

61.5 Germain Confidence Low 0.490

Ring Iq Adaptability

64.0 Claggett Confidence Medium 0.570

65.8 Germain Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Punching

54.0 Claggett Confidence Low 0.440

58.9 Germain Confidence Low 0.410

Chin

67.0 Claggett Confidence Medium 0.680

61.7 Germain Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

76.0 Claggett Confidence Medium 0.700

64.6 Germain Confidence Medium 0.700

Style Profile Claggett: Pressure Swarmer Power Slugger vs Germain: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

34.0 Claggett Confidence Medium 0.630

15.0 Germain Confidence Low 0.270

Out Boxer

8.0 Claggett Confidence Medium 0.520

26.0 Germain Confidence Low 0.480

Power Slugger

27.0 Claggett Confidence Medium 0.690

8.0 Germain Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Claggett Confidence Medium 0.610

38.0 Germain Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Puncher

7.0 Claggett Confidence Low 0.410

13.0 Germain Confidence Very Low 0.240

Stance Interaction Claggett vs orthodox · Germain vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Claggett Confidence Medium 0.600

68.0 Germain Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Claggett Confidence Medium 0.600

32.0 Germain Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Claggett

66.67 Germain

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Claggett

0 Germain

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Claggett

33.33 Germain

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.76 Claggett

58.89 Germain

Trend Score Last 5

40 Claggett

80 Germain

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

56.46 Claggett

77.78 Germain

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

44.22 Claggett

0 Germain

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Claggett

33.33 Germain

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.76 Claggett

58.89 Germain

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 Claggett

82.5 Germain

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Claggett stays in class.

Germain stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Claggett height: 173.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Germain height: N/A reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Claggett vs orthodox: 58.0

Germain vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Germain.

Advantage: Germain

Style Interaction

Claggett style: Pressure Swarmer

Germain style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral