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Noakes vs Mason 22 Nov 2025 Result: Mason Historical result Pick 67.52% Prediction: Correct Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Abdullah Mason (U D)

Historical lean Abdullah Mason 67.52%

Prediction result Correct

Noakes odds 4.8000

Mason odds 1.2857

Noakes implied 20.83%

Mason implied 77.78%

Closing odds 1.2857

Closing implied 77.78%

Expected return 0.8682

ROI -13.18%

Edge -10.25%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:54:00 UTC

Fighter details
SN
Sam Noakes

Score 68.12 · 17-1-0 (15 KO)

Full name Sam Noakes

Age 28 · Rank #149 · Confidence Medium 0.582

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / N/A · GB

Abdullah Mason
Abdullah Mason

Score 72.32 · 20-0-0 (17 KO)

Full name Abdullah Mason

Age 22 · Rank #68 · Confidence Medium 0.595

Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 188cm · US

WBO Lightweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

75.2 Noakes Confidence High 0.840

88.0 Mason Confidence High 0.820

Punching Accuracy

79.6 Noakes Confidence Medium 0.610

82.0 Mason Confidence Medium 0.680

Hand Speed

71.7 Noakes Confidence Low 0.480

84.0 Mason Confidence Medium 0.660

Pace Pressure

83.7 Noakes Confidence Medium 0.690

79.0 Mason Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

74.1 Noakes Confidence Medium 0.550

74.0 Mason Confidence Medium 0.560

Distance Footwork Control

69.6 Noakes Confidence Medium 0.500

77.0 Mason Confidence Medium 0.580

Ring Iq Adaptability

72.3 Noakes Confidence Medium 0.580

80.0 Mason Confidence Medium 0.640

Counter Punching

70.2 Noakes Confidence Low 0.430

76.0 Mason Confidence Medium 0.510

Chin

83.6 Noakes Confidence Medium 0.570

72.0 Mason Confidence Low 0.440

Cardio Engine

79.4 Noakes Confidence Medium 0.700

81.0 Mason Confidence Medium 0.670

Style Profile Noakes: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer  vs  Mason: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Noakes Confidence Medium 0.580

14.0 Mason Confidence Low 0.440

Out Boxer

10.0 Noakes Confidence Low 0.470

18.0 Mason Confidence Medium 0.520

Power Slugger

38.0 Noakes Confidence Medium 0.740

28.0 Mason Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer Puncher

22.0 Noakes Confidence Medium 0.610

32.0 Mason Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Puncher

6.0 Noakes Confidence Low 0.330

8.0 Mason Confidence Low 0.310

Stance Interaction Noakes vs southpaw  ·  Mason vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Noakes Confidence Medium 0.610

66.0 Mason Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Noakes Confidence Medium 0.610

34.0 Mason Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Noakes

100 Mason

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Noakes

66.67 Mason

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Noakes

66.67 Mason

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.04 Noakes

61.47 Mason

Trend Score Last 5

80 Noakes

100 Mason

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Noakes

100 Mason

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

63.33 Noakes

77.45 Mason

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Noakes

66.67 Mason

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.04 Noakes

61.47 Mason

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Noakes

100 Mason

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Noakes stays in class.

Mason stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Noakes height: 173.0cm reach: N/A

Mason height: 175.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Noakes vs southpaw: 42.0

Mason vs orthodox: 66.0

Interaction: medium advantage Mason.

Advantage: Mason

Style Interaction

Noakes style: Power Slugger

Mason style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Mason.

Advantage: Mason

Model: FiteQuant

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