Leigh Wood vs Josh Warrington

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2026-02-21

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Wood vs Warrington 21 Feb 2026 Result: Wood Historical result Pick 72.31% Prediction: Correct Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Leigh Wood (U D)

Historical lean Leigh Wood 72.31%

Prediction result Correct

Wood odds 1.7692

Warrington odds 2.5000

Wood implied 56.52%

Warrington implied 40.00%

Closing odds 1.7692

Closing implied 56.52%

Expected return 1.2793

ROI 27.93%

Edge 15.79%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:53:03 UTC

Fighter details

Leigh Wood

Score 65.28 · 29-4-0 (17 KO)

Full name Leigh Wood

Age 37 · Rank #191 · Confidence Medium 0.661

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 170cm · GB

Josh Warrington

Score 49.07 · 32-5-1 (8 KO)

Full name Josh Warrington

Age 35 · Rank #513 · Confidence Medium 0.678

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 170cm · GB

Leigh Wood

Full name: Leigh Wood
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #191
Current model score: 65.28
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.661
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 170cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 29-4-0 (17 KO)

21 Feb 2026

Confirmed Result

Result

Wood

Historical result

100% Wood

0% Warrington

Fight result: Leigh Wood (U D)
Historical lean: Leigh Wood 72.31%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 72.31%
Closing odds: 1.7692
Closing implied: 56.52%
Expected ROI (1u): 27.93%
Value edge: 15.79%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:53:03 UTC

Josh Warrington

Full name: Josh Warrington
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #513
Current model score: 49.07
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.678
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 170cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 32-5-1 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

71.6 Wood Confidence High 0.790

43.0 Warrington Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

68.4 Wood Confidence Medium 0.620

49.7 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.670

Hand Speed

68.3 Wood Confidence Medium 0.560

56.0 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.600

Pace Pressure

82.2 Wood Confidence High 0.760

85.7 Warrington Confidence High 0.840

Defensive Skill

69.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.680

46.5 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.720

Distance Footwork Control

70.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.630

56.6 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.660

Ring Iq Adaptability

75.4 Wood Confidence High 0.750

50.8 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Punching

71.1 Wood Confidence Medium 0.550

41.9 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.580

Chin

65.2 Wood Confidence Medium 0.720

43.3 Warrington Confidence High 0.780

Cardio Engine

81.7 Wood Confidence High 0.780

73.1 Warrington Confidence High 0.820

Style Profile Wood: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Warrington: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.590

52.0 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.740

Out Boxer

20.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.630

12.0 Warrington Confidence Low 0.430

Power Slugger

14.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.560

8.0 Warrington Confidence High 0.780

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.740

21.0 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Puncher

14.0 Wood Confidence Low 0.430

7.0 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.510

Stance Interaction Wood vs orthodox · Warrington vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.720

62.0 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Wood Confidence Medium 0.720

38.0 Warrington Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Wood

33.33 Warrington

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Wood

0 Warrington

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Wood

66.67 Warrington

Opponent Rating Last 3

69.88 Wood

67.02 Warrington

Trend Score Last 5

60 Wood

40 Warrington

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

78.33 Wood

60.95 Warrington

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

43.33 Wood

11.43 Warrington

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Wood

66.67 Warrington

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

69.88 Wood

67.02 Warrington

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

72.5 Wood

55 Warrington

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Wood moves down 1 class.

Warrington stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Warrington.

Advantage: Warrington

Height Reach Delta

Wood height: 170.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Warrington height: 170.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral 0.0cm

Stance Interaction

Wood vs orthodox: 68.0

Warrington vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: low advantage Wood.

Advantage: Wood

Style Interaction

Wood style: Boxer Puncher

Warrington style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral