Emanuel Navarrete vs Óscar Valdez

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2024-12-07

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Navarrete vs Valdez 07 Dec 2024 Result: Martínez Historical result Pick 76.94% Prediction: Correct Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Emanuel Martínez (KO)

Historical lean Emanuel Navarrete 76.94%

Prediction result Correct

Navarrete odds 1.4444

Valdez odds 3.1500

Navarrete implied 69.23%

Valdez implied 31.75%

Closing odds 1.4444

Closing implied 69.23%

Expected return 1.1113

ROI 11.13%

Edge 7.70%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:56:30 UTC

Fighter details

Emanuel Navarrete

Score 74.46 · 40-2-1 (33 KO)

Full name Emanuel Navarrete Martínez

Age 31 · Rank #29 · Confidence Medium 0.649

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 183cm · MX

IBF Super featherweight WBO Super featherweight

Óscar Valdez

Score 69.18 · 33-3-0 (24 KO)

Full name Óscar Rafael Valdez Fierro Jr.

Age 35 · Rank #116 · Confidence Medium 0.701

Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 168cm · MX

Emanuel Navarrete

Full name: Emanuel Navarrete Martínez
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #29
Current model score: 74.46
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.649
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 183cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 40-2-1 (33 KO)

World titles

IBF Super featherweight WBO Super featherweight

07 Dec 2024

Confirmed Result

Result

Martínez

Historical result

100% Navarrete

0% Valdez

Fight result: Emanuel Martínez (KO)
Historical lean: Emanuel Navarrete 76.94%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 76.94%
Closing odds: 1.4444
Closing implied: 69.23%
Expected ROI (1u): 11.13%
Value edge: 7.70%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:56:30 UTC

Óscar Valdez

Full name: Óscar Rafael Valdez Fierro Jr.
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #116
Current model score: 69.18
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.701
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 166cm / 168cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 33-3-0 (24 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

93.0 Navarrete Confidence High 0.830

80.7 Valdez Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

79.5 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.660

73.7 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.670

Hand Speed

82.7 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.610

80.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.690

Pace Pressure

97.3 Navarrete Confidence High 0.840

85.9 Valdez Confidence High 0.780

Defensive Skill

75.7 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.630

73.4 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.740

Distance Footwork Control

77.9 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.620

71.9 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.660

Ring Iq Adaptability

85.1 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.700

71.2 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Punching

77.6 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.570

79.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.650

Chin

85.7 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.600

77.8 Valdez Confidence High 0.760

Cardio Engine

93.3 Navarrete Confidence High 0.760

76.0 Valdez Confidence High 0.750

Style Profile Navarrete: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher vs Valdez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

43.0 Navarrete Confidence High 0.760

24.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.650

Out Boxer

12.0 Navarrete Confidence Low 0.480

8.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.600

Power Slugger

18.0 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.670

18.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.700

Boxer Puncher

22.0 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.640

38.0 Valdez Confidence High 0.800

Counter Puncher

5.0 Navarrete Confidence Low 0.330

12.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.620

Stance Interaction Navarrete vs orthodox · Valdez vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.670

64.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.670

36.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Navarrete

66.67 Valdez

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Navarrete

33.33 Valdez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Navarrete

33.33 Valdez

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.36 Navarrete

67.62 Valdez

Trend Score Last 5

73.75 Navarrete

60 Valdez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.83 Navarrete

80.3 Valdez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

72.08 Navarrete

51.52 Valdez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Navarrete

33.33 Valdez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.36 Navarrete

67.62 Valdez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

86.88 Navarrete

70 Valdez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Navarrete moves down 1 class.

Valdez moves down 1 class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Navarrete height: 170.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Valdez height: 166.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Navarrete.

Advantage: Navarrete +19.0cm

Stance Interaction

Navarrete vs orthodox: 62.0

Valdez vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Navarrete style: Pressure Swarmer

Valdez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral