Emanuel Navarrete vs Ruben Villa

Data as of: 2026-06-09 00:58:23 UTC Historical result As-of 2020-10-09

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Navarrete vs Villa 09 Oct 2020 Result: Martínez Historical result Pick 74.76% Prediction: Correct Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Emanuel Martínez (U D)

Historical lean Emanuel Navarrete 74.76%

Prediction result Correct

Navarrete odds 1.3636

Villa odds 3.3500

Navarrete implied 73.34%

Villa implied 29.85%

Closing odds 1.3636

Closing implied 73.34%

Expected return 1.0194

ROI 1.94%

Edge 1.43%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 13:05:26 UTC

Fighter details

Emanuel Navarrete

Score 77.56 · 40-2-1 (33 KO)

Full name Emanuel Navarrete Martínez

Age 31 · Rank #29 · Confidence Medium 0.649

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 183cm · MX

IBF Super featherweight WBO Super featherweight

Ruben Villa

Score 69.25 · 22-2-0 (7 KO)

Full name Ruben Villa

Age 29 · Rank #142 · Confidence Medium 0.648

Stance Southpaw · H/R 168cm / 169cm · US

Emanuel Navarrete

Full name: Emanuel Navarrete Martínez
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #29
Current model score: 77.56
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.649
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 183cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 40-2-1 (33 KO)

World titles

IBF Super featherweight WBO Super featherweight

09 Oct 2020

Confirmed Result

Result

Martínez

Historical result

100% Navarrete

0% Villa

Fight result: Emanuel Martínez (U D)
Historical lean: Emanuel Navarrete 74.76%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 74.76%
Closing odds: 1.3636
Closing implied: 73.34%
Expected ROI (1u): 1.94%
Value edge: 1.43%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 13:05:26 UTC

Ruben Villa

Full name: Ruben Villa
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #142
Current model score: 69.25
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.648
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 168cm / 169cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 22-2-0 (7 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

93.0 Navarrete Confidence High 0.830

47.1 Villa Confidence High 0.770

Punching Accuracy

79.5 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.660

78.7 Villa Confidence Medium 0.680

Hand Speed

82.7 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.610

78.1 Villa Confidence Medium 0.620

Pace Pressure

97.3 Navarrete Confidence High 0.840

60.0 Villa Confidence Medium 0.600

Defensive Skill

75.7 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.630

86.2 Villa Confidence Medium 0.710

Distance Footwork Control

77.9 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.620

85.9 Villa Confidence Medium 0.720

Ring Iq Adaptability

85.1 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.700

83.3 Villa Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Punching

77.6 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.570

81.0 Villa Confidence Medium 0.610

Chin

85.7 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.600

84.1 Villa Confidence Medium 0.640

Cardio Engine

93.3 Navarrete Confidence High 0.760

83.7 Villa Confidence High 0.750

Style Profile Navarrete: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher vs Villa: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

43.0 Navarrete Confidence High 0.760

10.0 Villa Confidence Low 0.440

Out Boxer

12.0 Navarrete Confidence Low 0.480

43.0 Villa Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

18.0 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.670

7.0 Villa Confidence High 0.780

Boxer Puncher

22.0 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.640

28.0 Villa Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Puncher

5.0 Navarrete Confidence Low 0.330

12.0 Villa Confidence Low 0.330

Stance Interaction Navarrete vs southpaw · Villa vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.670

62.0 Villa Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Navarrete Confidence Medium 0.670

38.0 Villa Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Navarrete

66.67 Villa

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Navarrete

0 Villa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Navarrete

0 Villa

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.36 Navarrete

59 Villa

Trend Score Last 5

73.75 Navarrete

80 Villa

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.83 Navarrete

80.95 Villa

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

72.08 Navarrete

16.67 Villa

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Navarrete

0 Villa

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.36 Navarrete

59 Villa

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

86.88 Navarrete

80 Villa

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Navarrete moves down 1 class.

Villa stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Villa.

Advantage: Villa

Height Reach Delta

Navarrete height: 170.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Villa height: 168.0cm reach: 169.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Navarrete.

Advantage: Navarrete +16.0cm

Stance Interaction

Navarrete vs southpaw: 38.0

Villa vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Villa.

Advantage: Villa

Style Interaction

Navarrete style: Pressure Swarmer

Villa style: Out Boxer

Interaction: medium advantage Navarrete.

Advantage: Navarrete