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Valdez vs Wilson 29 Mar 2024 Result: Fierro Historical result Pick 52.34% Prediction: Correct Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Óscar Fierro (TKO)

Historical lean Óscar Valdez 52.34%

Prediction result Correct

Valdez odds 1.2899

Wilson odds 4.0000

Valdez implied 77.53%

Wilson implied 25.00%

Closing odds 1.2899

Closing implied 77.53%

Expected return 0.6751

ROI -32.49%

Edge -25.19%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:58:15 UTC

Fighter details
Óscar Valdez
Óscar Valdez

Score 69.09 · 33-3-0 (24 KO)

Full name Óscar Rafael Valdez Fierro Jr.

Age 35 · Rank #116 · Confidence Medium 0.701

Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 168cm · MX

LW
Liam Wilson

Score 55.93 · 18-3-0 (9 KO)

Full name Liam Wilson

Age 30 · Rank #287 · Confidence Medium 0.550

Stance Orthodox · H/R 176cm / 178cm · AU

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

80.7 Valdez Confidence High 0.790

77.4 Wilson Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

73.7 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.670

65.2 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

80.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.690

68.9 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.520

Pace Pressure

85.9 Valdez Confidence High 0.780

74.7 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

73.4 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.740

63.9 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.500

Distance Footwork Control

71.9 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.660

65.5 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring Iq Adaptability

71.2 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.700

63.1 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter Punching

79.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.650

69.6 Wilson Confidence Low 0.460

Chin

77.8 Valdez Confidence High 0.760

71.1 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.620

Cardio Engine

76.0 Valdez Confidence High 0.750

66.5 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Valdez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer  vs  Wilson: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.650

18.0 Wilson Confidence Low 0.470

Out Boxer

8.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.600

14.0 Wilson Confidence Low 0.420

Power Slugger

18.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.700

20.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.530

Boxer Puncher

38.0 Valdez Confidence High 0.800

34.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

12.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.620

14.0 Wilson Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Interaction Valdez vs orthodox  ·  Wilson vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.680

42.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.560

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.680

58.0 Wilson Confidence Medium 0.560

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Valdez

100 Wilson

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Valdez

66.67 Wilson

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Valdez

100 Wilson

Opponent Rating Last 3

67.62 Valdez

47.98 Wilson

Trend Score Last 5

60 Valdez

100 Wilson

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.3 Valdez

100 Wilson

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

51.52 Valdez

66.67 Wilson

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Valdez

100 Wilson

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

67.62 Valdez

52.4 Wilson

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70 Valdez

100 Wilson

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Valdez moves down 1 class.

Wilson moves down 1 class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Valdez height: 166.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Wilson height: 176.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Wilson.

Advantage: Wilson +20.0cm

Stance Interaction

Valdez vs orthodox: 64.0

Wilson vs orthodox: 42.0

Interaction: medium advantage Valdez.

Advantage: Valdez

Style Interaction

Valdez style: Boxer Puncher

Wilson style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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