Rey Vargas vs Tomoki Kameda

Data as of: 2026-06-09 00:58:23 UTC Historical result As-of 2019-07-13

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Vargas vs Kameda 13 Jul 2019 Result: Roldán Historical result Pick 73.18% Prediction: Correct Bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Rey Roldán (U D)

Historical lean Rey Vargas 73.18%

Prediction result Correct

Vargas odds 1.2801

Kameda odds 4.2500

Vargas implied 78.12%

Kameda implied 23.53%

Closing odds 1.2801

Closing implied 78.12%

Expected return 0.9368

ROI -6.32%

Edge -4.94%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 13:07:25 UTC

Fighter details

Rey Vargas

Score 71.72 · 36-1-1 (22 KO)

Full name Rey Geovani Vargas Roldán

Age 35 · Rank #93 · Confidence Medium 0.656

Stance Orthodox · H/R 178cm / 182cm · MX

Tomoki Kameda

Score 69.39 · 42-5-0 (23 KO)

Full name Tomoki Kameda

Age 34 · Rank #127 · Confidence Medium 0.621

Stance Orthodox · H/R 171cm / 170cm · JP

Rey Vargas

Full name: Rey Geovani Vargas Roldán
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #93
Current model score: 71.72
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.656
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 178cm / 182cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 36-1-1 (22 KO)

13 Jul 2019

Confirmed Result

Result

Roldán

Historical result

100% Vargas

0% Kameda

Fight result: Rey Roldán (U D)
Historical lean: Rey Vargas 73.18%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 73.18%
Closing odds: 1.2801
Closing implied: 78.12%
Expected ROI (1u): -6.32%
Value edge: -4.94%
Lean assessment: No Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 13:07:25 UTC

Tomoki Kameda

Full name: Tomoki Kameda
Age: 34
Fighter rank: #127
Current model score: 69.39
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.621
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 171cm / 170cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 42-5-0 (23 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

63.7 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.680

59.4 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.710

Punching Accuracy

79.9 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.660

73.2 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

76.6 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.580

81.7 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.640

Pace Pressure

64.8 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.620

70.6 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.640

Defensive Skill

89.4 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.720

84.7 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.700

Distance Footwork Control

92.5 Vargas Confidence High 0.750

83.2 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.680

Ring Iq Adaptability

86.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.730

74.8 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Punching

79.6 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.570

78.2 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.560

Chin

76.2 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.550

89.7 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.730

Cardio Engine

84.1 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.740

83.8 Kameda Confidence High 0.770

Style Profile Vargas: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Kameda: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.620

16.0 Kameda Confidence Low 0.470

Out Boxer

41.0 Vargas Confidence High 0.830

31.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.640

Power Slugger

10.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.670

12.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.560

Boxer Puncher

29.0 Vargas Confidence High 0.770

35.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Puncher

6.0 Vargas Confidence Low 0.450

6.0 Kameda Confidence Very Low 0.230

Stance Interaction Vargas vs orthodox · Kameda vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.610

62.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.610

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Vargas Confidence Medium 0.610

38.0 Kameda Confidence Medium 0.610

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Vargas

66.67 Kameda

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Vargas

33.33 Kameda

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Vargas

33.33 Kameda

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.35 Vargas

61.64 Kameda

Trend Score Last 5

70 Vargas

60 Kameda

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Vargas

78.79 Kameda

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

31.43 Vargas

41.67 Kameda

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Vargas

33.33 Kameda

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.35 Vargas

61.64 Kameda

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Vargas

72.5 Kameda

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Vargas moves down 2 classes.

Kameda moves down 2 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Vargas height: 178.0cm reach: 182.0cm

Kameda height: 171.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Vargas.

Advantage: Vargas +19.0cm

Stance Interaction

Vargas vs orthodox: 58.0

Kameda vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Vargas style: Out Boxer

Kameda style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral