OWN YOUR EDGE
Castro vs Carrington 31 Jan 2026 Result: Carrington Historical result Pick 73.57% Prediction: Correct Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Bruce Carrington (KO)

Historical lean Bruce Carrington 73.57%

Prediction result Correct

Castro odds 6.5000

Carrington odds 1.1431

Castro implied 15.38%

Carrington implied 87.48%

Closing odds 1.1431

Closing implied 87.48%

Expected return 0.8409

ROI -15.91%

Edge -13.91%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:53:14 UTC

Fighter details
CC
Carlos Castro

Score 56.29 · 30-4-0 (14 KO)

Full name Carlos Alejandro Castro Manriquez

Age 32 · Rank #432 · Confidence Medium 0.568

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 178cm · US

BC
Bruce Carrington

Score 74.55 · 17-0-0 (10 KO)

Full name Bruce Carrington Jr.

Age 29 · Rank #33 · Confidence Medium 0.608

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 183cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

56.6 Castro Confidence High 0.750

75.2 Carrington Confidence High 0.750

Punching Accuracy

66.7 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

84.6 Carrington Confidence Medium 0.670

Hand Speed

72.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.550

86.3 Carrington Confidence Medium 0.630

Pace Pressure

69.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.640

83.7 Carrington Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

65.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.670

87.6 Carrington Confidence Medium 0.660

Distance Footwork Control

64.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.560

84.9 Carrington Confidence Medium 0.680

Ring Iq Adaptability

62.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.600

81.7 Carrington Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Punching

63.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.470

88.0 Carrington Confidence Medium 0.570

Chin

62.2 Castro Confidence Medium 0.720

82.4 Carrington Confidence Low 0.450

Cardio Engine

62.4 Castro Confidence Medium 0.650

79.4 Carrington Confidence Medium 0.720

Style Profile Castro: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Carrington: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

16.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.380

12.0 Carrington Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

24.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.520

24.0 Carrington Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

12.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.500

14.0 Carrington Confidence Low 0.490

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.630

38.0 Carrington Confidence High 0.750

Counter Puncher

14.0 Castro Confidence Low 0.280

12.0 Carrington Confidence Low 0.360

Stance Interaction Castro vs orthodox  ·  Carrington vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

44.0 Carrington Confidence Medium 0.610

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Castro Confidence Medium 0.580

56.0 Carrington Confidence Medium 0.610

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Castro

100 Carrington

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Castro

66.67 Carrington

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Castro

66.67 Carrington

Opponent Rating Last 3

66.26 Castro

61.84 Carrington

Trend Score Last 5

60 Castro

100 Carrington

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

63.44 Castro

100 Carrington

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

24.19 Castro

66.67 Carrington

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Castro

66.67 Carrington

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

66.26 Castro

61.84 Carrington

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

60 Castro

100 Carrington

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Castro stays in class.

Carrington stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Castro height: 175.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Carrington height: 173.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Carrington.

Advantage: Carrington +3.0cm

Stance Interaction

Castro vs orthodox: 62.0

Carrington vs orthodox: 44.0

Interaction: low advantage Castro.

Advantage: Castro

Style Interaction

Castro style: Boxer Puncher

Carrington style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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