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Gonzalez vs Khegai 08 Mar 2025 Result: Gonzalez Historical result Pick 66.54% Prediction: Correct Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Joet Gonzalez (S D)

Historical lean Joet Gonzalez 66.54%

Prediction result Correct

Gonzalez odds 2.8000

Khegai odds 1.5714

Gonzalez implied 35.71%

Khegai implied 63.64%

Closing odds 2.8

Closing implied 35.71%

Expected return 1.8632

ROI 86.32%

Edge 30.83%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:55:58 UTC

Fighter details
JG
Joet Gonzalez

Score 62.83 · 27-5-0 (15 KO)

Full name Joet De Jesus Gonzalez

Age 32 · Rank #248 · Confidence Medium 0.605

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 178cm · US

AK
Arnold Khegai

Score 60.57 · 23-3-1 (14 KO)

Full name Arnold Khegai

Age 34 · Rank #369 · Confidence Medium 0.567

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 168cm · UA

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

57.7 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.710

63.1 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

68.7 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.620

65.7 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.590

Hand Speed

71.3 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.580

65.6 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.530

Pace Pressure

82.4 Gonzalez Confidence High 0.770

69.7 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.650

Defensive Skill

70.3 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.640

69.5 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

69.1 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.600

62.4 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring Iq Adaptability

70.1 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.660

64.9 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Punching

65.9 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.520

66.8 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

91.2 Gonzalez Confidence High 0.790

63.9 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.680

Cardio Engine

83.4 Gonzalez Confidence High 0.800

70.4 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.720

Style Profile Gonzalez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer  vs  Khegai: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.450

23.0 Khegai Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

12.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.330

14.0 Khegai Confidence Low 0.360

Power Slugger

16.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.550

16.0 Khegai Confidence Low 0.400

Boxer Puncher

38.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.710

32.0 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Puncher

10.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.280

15.0 Khegai Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Interaction Gonzalez vs orthodox  ·  Khegai vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.640

68.0 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.640

32.0 Khegai Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Gonzalez

33.33 Khegai

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Gonzalez

0 Khegai

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Gonzalez

66.67 Khegai

Opponent Rating Last 3

77.19 Gonzalez

74.16 Khegai

Trend Score Last 5

40 Gonzalez

60 Khegai

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

61.49 Gonzalez

62.32 Khegai

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

25.86 Gonzalez

30.43 Khegai

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Gonzalez

66.67 Khegai

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

77.19 Gonzalez

74.16 Khegai

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

50 Gonzalez

72.5 Khegai

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Gonzalez stays in class.

Khegai stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Gonzalez height: 168.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Khegai height: 165.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Gonzalez.

Advantage: Gonzalez +13.0cm

Stance Interaction

Gonzalez vs orthodox: 62.0

Khegai vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Khegai.

Advantage: Khegai

Style Interaction

Gonzalez style: Boxer Puncher

Khegai style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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