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Nishida vs Rodríguez 04 May 2024 Result: Nishida Historical result Pick 54.68% Prediction: Correct Bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Ryosuke Nishida (U D)

Historical lean Ryosuke Nishida 54.68%

Prediction result Correct

Nishida odds 2.6000

Rodríguez odds 1.6250

Nishida implied 38.46%

Rodríguez implied 61.54%

Closing odds 2.6

Closing implied 38.46%

Expected return 1.4217

ROI 42.17%

Edge 16.22%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:57:57 UTC

Fighter details
RN
Ryosuke Nishida

Score 69.17 · 11-1-0 (2 KO)

Full name Ryosuke Nishida

Age 29 · Rank #103 · Confidence Medium 0.688

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / 173cm · JP

ER
Emmanuel Rodríguez

Score 70.84 · 23-3-0 (13 KO)

Full name Emmanuel Rodríguez Vázquez

Age 33 · Rank #95 · Confidence Medium 0.631

Stance N/A · H/R 168cm / 169cm · PR

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

41.3 Nishida Confidence High 0.860

66.9 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

83.3 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.740

81.9 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.680

Hand Speed

77.2 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.620

80.9 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.620

Pace Pressure

59.2 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.660

69.6 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.640

Defensive Skill

87.6 Nishida Confidence High 0.780

84.1 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.690

Distance Footwork Control

84.9 Nishida Confidence High 0.800

83.5 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.670

Ring Iq Adaptability

81.7 Nishida Confidence High 0.820

85.4 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Punching

85.6 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.650

81.6 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.600

Chin

69.5 Nishida Confidence Low 0.470

69.1 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

79.4 Nishida Confidence High 0.840

82.5 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.730

Style Profile Nishida: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Rodríguez: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

9.0 Nishida Confidence Low 0.450

12.0 Rodríguez Confidence Low 0.340

Out Boxer

48.0 Nishida Confidence High 0.770

28.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.640

Power Slugger

4.0 Nishida Confidence High 0.840

14.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.620

36.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Puncher

15.0 Nishida Confidence Low 0.410

10.0 Rodríguez Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Interaction Nishida vs unknown stance  ·  Rodríguez vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.680

72.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.680

28.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Nishida

66.67 Rodríguez

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Nishida

0 Rodríguez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Nishida

33.33 Rodríguez

Opponent Rating Last 3

66.18 Nishida

60.74 Rodríguez

Trend Score Last 5

80 Nishida

80 Rodríguez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Nishida

78.99 Rodríguez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

33.33 Nishida

28.26 Rodríguez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Nishida

33.33 Rodríguez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

66.18 Nishida

60.74 Rodríguez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Nishida

80 Rodríguez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Nishida stays in class.

Rodríguez stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Nishida height: 170.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Rodríguez height: 168.0cm reach: 169.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Nishida.

Advantage: Nishida +6.0cm

Stance Interaction

Nishida vs unknown stance: N/A

Rodríguez vs southpaw: 28.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Nishida style: Out Boxer

Rodríguez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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