Ryosuke Nishida vs Christian Medina

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2023-08-11

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Nishida vs Medina 11 Aug 2023 Result: Nishida Historical result Pick 63.85% Prediction: Correct Bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Ryosuke Nishida (U D)

Historical lean Ryosuke Nishida 63.85%

Prediction result Correct

Nishida odds 1.2000

Medina odds 5.3000

Nishida implied 83.33%

Medina implied 18.87%

Closing odds 1.2

Closing implied 83.33%

Expected return 0.7662

ROI -23.38%

Edge -19.48%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:59:39 UTC

Fighter details

Ryosuke Nishida

Score 69.54 · 11-1-0 (2 KO)

Full name Ryosuke Nishida

Age 29 · Rank #103 · Confidence Medium 0.688

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / 173cm · JP

Christian Medina

Score 68.46 · 27-4-0 (19 KO)

Full name Christian Medina Jiménez

Age 26 · Rank #89 · Confidence Medium 0.535

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 170cm · MX

WBO Bantamweight

Ryosuke Nishida

Full name: Ryosuke Nishida
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #103
Current model score: 69.54
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.688
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 170cm / 173cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 11-1-0 (2 KO)

11 Aug 2023

Confirmed Result

Result

Nishida

Historical result

100% Nishida

0% Medina

Fight result: Ryosuke Nishida (U D)
Historical lean: Ryosuke Nishida 63.85%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 63.85%
Closing odds: 1.2
Closing implied: 83.33%
Expected ROI (1u): -23.38%
Value edge: -19.48%
Lean assessment: No Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:59:39 UTC

Christian Medina

Full name: Christian Medina Jiménez
Age: 26
Fighter rank: #89
Current model score: 68.46
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.535
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 170cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 27-4-0 (19 KO)

World titles

WBO Bantamweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

41.3 Nishida Confidence High 0.860

90.5 Medina Confidence High 0.770

Punching Accuracy

83.3 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.740

75.3 Medina Confidence Medium 0.540

Hand Speed

77.2 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.620

75.4 Medina Confidence Low 0.450

Pace Pressure

59.2 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.660

87.6 Medina Confidence Medium 0.640

Defensive Skill

87.6 Nishida Confidence High 0.780

74.5 Medina Confidence Low 0.470

Distance Footwork Control

84.9 Nishida Confidence High 0.800

72.4 Medina Confidence Low 0.450

Ring Iq Adaptability

81.7 Nishida Confidence High 0.820

79.1 Medina Confidence Medium 0.590

Counter Punching

85.6 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.650

72.7 Medina Confidence Low 0.380

Chin

69.5 Nishida Confidence Low 0.470

81.5 Medina Confidence Medium 0.500

Cardio Engine

79.4 Nishida Confidence High 0.840

83.0 Medina Confidence Medium 0.610

Style Profile Nishida: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Medina: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

9.0 Nishida Confidence Low 0.450

18.0 Medina Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

48.0 Nishida Confidence High 0.770

14.0 Medina Confidence Medium 0.500

Power Slugger

4.0 Nishida Confidence High 0.840

28.0 Medina Confidence Medium 0.670

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.620

32.0 Medina Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Puncher

15.0 Nishida Confidence Low 0.410

8.0 Medina Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Interaction Nishida vs orthodox · Medina vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.680

42.0 Medina Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Nishida Confidence Medium 0.680

58.0 Medina Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Nishida

100 Medina

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Nishida

66.67 Medina

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Nishida

100 Medina

Opponent Rating Last 3

66.18 Nishida

59.27 Medina

Trend Score Last 5

80 Nishida

100 Medina

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Nishida

100 Medina

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

33.33 Nishida

66.67 Medina

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Nishida

100 Medina

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

66.18 Nishida

59.27 Medina

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Nishida

100 Medina

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Nishida stays in class.

Medina stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Nishida height: 170.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Medina height: 165.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Nishida.

Advantage: Nishida +8.0cm

Stance Interaction

Nishida vs orthodox: 68.0

Medina vs southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Nishida.

Advantage: Nishida

Style Interaction

Nishida style: Out Boxer

Medina style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral