Seiya Tsutsumi vs Takuma Inoue

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2024-10-13

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Tsutsumi vs Inoue 13 Oct 2024 Result: Tsutsumi Historical result Pick 63.15% Prediction: Correct Bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Seiya Tsutsumi (U D)

Historical lean Seiya Tsutsumi 63.15%

Prediction result Correct

Tsutsumi odds 3.6000

Inoue odds 1.3333

Tsutsumi implied 27.78%

Inoue implied 75.00%

Closing odds 3.6

Closing implied 27.78%

Expected return 2.2735

ROI 127.35%

Edge 35.38%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:56:59 UTC

Fighter details

Seiya Tsutsumi

Score 71.58 · 13-0-3 (8 KO)

Full name Seiya Tsutsumi

Age 30 · Rank #86 · Confidence Medium 0.594

Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 164cm · JP

WBA Bantamweight

Takuma Inoue

Score 70.40 · 22-2-0 (5 KO)

Full name Takuma Inoue

Age 30 · Rank #112 · Confidence Medium 0.674

Stance Orthodox · H/R 164cm / 164cm · JP

WBC Bantamweight

Seiya Tsutsumi

Full name: Seiya Tsutsumi
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #86
Current model score: 71.58
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.594
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 166cm / 164cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 13-0-3 (8 KO)

World titles

WBA Bantamweight

13 Oct 2024

Confirmed Result

Result

Tsutsumi

Historical result

100% Tsutsumi

0% Inoue

Fight result: Seiya Tsutsumi (U D)
Historical lean: Seiya Tsutsumi 63.15%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 63.15%
Closing odds: 3.6
Closing implied: 27.78%
Expected ROI (1u): 127.35%
Value edge: 35.38%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:56:59 UTC

Takuma Inoue

Full name: Takuma Inoue
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #112
Current model score: 70.40
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.674
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 164cm / 164cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 22-2-0 (5 KO)

World titles

WBC Bantamweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

75.2 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.730

59.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.800

Punching Accuracy

80.5 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.640

78.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.690

Hand Speed

72.9 Tsutsumi Confidence Low 0.480

80.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.620

Pace Pressure

83.7 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.720

66.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

83.2 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.610

79.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.720

Distance Footwork Control

73.7 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.530

81.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.710

Ring Iq Adaptability

81.7 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.700

83.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Punching

74.1 Tsutsumi Confidence Low 0.450

74.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.580

Chin

88.3 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.690

76.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.550

Cardio Engine

79.4 Tsutsumi Confidence High 0.780

84.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.780

Style Profile Tsutsumi: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher vs Inoue: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

30.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.580

12.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.580

Out Boxer

14.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Low 0.460

43.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.780

Power Slugger

18.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.500

6.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.850

Boxer Puncher

28.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.630

24.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

10.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Low 0.320

15.0 Inoue Confidence Low 0.460

Stance Interaction Tsutsumi vs orthodox · Inoue vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.640

43.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Tsutsumi Confidence Medium 0.640

57.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Tsutsumi

66.67 Inoue

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Tsutsumi

0 Inoue

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Tsutsumi

66.67 Inoue

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.01 Tsutsumi

73.4 Inoue

Trend Score Last 5

90 Tsutsumi

80 Inoue

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

75.64 Tsutsumi

80.95 Inoue

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30.77 Tsutsumi

11.9 Inoue

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Tsutsumi

66.67 Inoue

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.01 Tsutsumi

73.4 Inoue

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

95 Tsutsumi

90 Inoue

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Tsutsumi stays in class.

Inoue stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Tsutsumi height: 166.0cm reach: 164.0cm

Inoue height: 164.0cm reach: 164.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Tsutsumi.

Advantage: Tsutsumi +2.0cm

Stance Interaction

Tsutsumi vs orthodox: 58.0

Inoue vs orthodox: 43.0

Interaction: low advantage Tsutsumi.

Advantage: Tsutsumi

Style Interaction

Tsutsumi style: Pressure Swarmer

Inoue style: Out Boxer

Interaction: medium advantage Tsutsumi.

Advantage: Tsutsumi