Takuma Inoue vs Keita Kurihara

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2021-01-14

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Inoue vs Kurihara 14 Jan 2021 Result: Inoue Historical result Pick 74.26% Prediction: Correct Bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Takuma Inoue (T D)

Historical lean Takuma Inoue 74.26%

Prediction result Correct

Inoue odds 1.1667

Kurihara odds 6.5000

Inoue implied 85.71%

Kurihara implied 15.38%

Closing odds 1.1667

Closing implied 85.71%

Expected return 0.8664

ROI -13.36%

Edge -11.45%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 13:04:54 UTC

Fighter details

Takuma Inoue

Score 68.00 · 22-2-0 (5 KO)

Full name Takuma Inoue

Age 30 · Rank #112 · Confidence Medium 0.674

Stance Orthodox · H/R 164cm / 164cm · JP

WBC Bantamweight

Keita Kurihara

Score 50.54 · 20-9-1 (17 KO)

Full name Keita Kurihara

Age 33 · Rank #518 · Confidence Medium 0.607

Stance Orthodox · H/R 172cm / N/A · JP

Takuma Inoue

Full name: Takuma Inoue
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #112
Current model score: 68.00
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.674
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 164cm / 164cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 22-2-0 (5 KO)

World titles

WBC Bantamweight

14 Jan 2021

Confirmed Result

Result

Inoue

Historical result

100% Inoue

0% Kurihara

Fight result: Takuma Inoue (T D)
Historical lean: Takuma Inoue 74.26%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 74.26%
Closing odds: 1.1667
Closing implied: 85.71%
Expected ROI (1u): -13.36%
Value edge: -11.45%
Lean assessment: No Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 13:04:54 UTC

Keita Kurihara

Full name: Keita Kurihara
Age: 33
Fighter rank: #518
Current model score: 50.54
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.607
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 172cm / N/A
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 20-9-1 (17 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

59.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.800

88.0 Kurihara Confidence High 0.860

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.690

53.8 Kurihara Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

80.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.620

62.1 Kurihara Confidence Low 0.470

Pace Pressure

66.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.660

73.7 Kurihara Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

79.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.720

43.6 Kurihara Confidence Medium 0.670

Distance Footwork Control

81.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.710

45.3 Kurihara Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring Iq Adaptability

83.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.740

44.8 Kurihara Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter Punching

74.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.580

45.3 Kurihara Confidence Low 0.410

Chin

76.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.550

41.9 Kurihara Confidence Medium 0.740

Cardio Engine

84.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.780

44.2 Kurihara Confidence Medium 0.540

Style Profile Inoue: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Kurihara: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.580

22.0 Kurihara Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

43.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.780

6.0 Kurihara Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

6.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.850

43.0 Kurihara Confidence High 0.840

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.670

21.0 Kurihara Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Puncher

15.0 Inoue Confidence Low 0.460

8.0 Kurihara Confidence Low 0.480

Stance Interaction Inoue vs orthodox · Kurihara vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

43.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.630

58.0 Kurihara Confidence Medium 0.610

Vs Southpaw

57.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.630

42.0 Kurihara Confidence Medium 0.610

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Inoue

66.67 Kurihara

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Inoue

33.33 Kurihara

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Inoue

33.33 Kurihara

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.4 Inoue

56.33 Kurihara

Trend Score Last 5

80 Inoue

60 Kurihara

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.95 Inoue

66.67 Kurihara

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

11.9 Inoue

46.3 Kurihara

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Inoue

33.33 Kurihara

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.4 Inoue

56.33 Kurihara

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Inoue

60 Kurihara

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Inoue stays in class.

Kurihara stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Inoue height: 164.0cm reach: 164.0cm

Kurihara height: 172.0cm reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Inoue vs orthodox: 43.0

Kurihara vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Kurihara.

Advantage: Kurihara

Style Interaction

Inoue style: Out Boxer

Kurihara style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Inoue.

Advantage: Inoue