Takuma Inoue vs Jerwin Ancajas

Data as of: 2026-06-09 00:58:23 UTC Historical result As-of 2024-02-24

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Inoue vs Ancajas 24 Feb 2024 Result: Inoue Historical result Pick 52.83% Prediction: Incorrect Bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Takuma Inoue (KO)

Historical lean Jerwin Ancajas 52.83%

Prediction result Incorrect

Inoue odds 1.5319

Ancajas odds 2.7500

Inoue implied 65.28%

Ancajas implied 36.36%

Closing odds 2.75

Closing implied 36.36%

Expected return 1.4529

ROI 45.29%

Edge 16.47%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-23 19:12:29 UTC

Fighter details

Takuma Inoue

Score 69.30 · 22-2-0 (5 KO)

Full name Takuma Inoue

Age 30 · Rank #112 · Confidence Medium 0.674

Stance Orthodox · H/R 164cm / 164cm · JP

WBC Bantamweight

Jerwin Ancajas

Score 62.59 · 37-4-2 (24 KO)

Full name Jerwin Juntilla Ancajas

Age 34 · Rank #264 · Confidence Medium 0.604

Stance Southpaw · H/R 168cm / 169cm · PH

Takuma Inoue

Full name: Takuma Inoue
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #112
Current model score: 69.30
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.674
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 164cm / 164cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 22-2-0 (5 KO)

World titles

WBC Bantamweight

24 Feb 2024

Confirmed Result

Result

Inoue

Historical result

100% Inoue

0% Ancajas

Fight result: Takuma Inoue (KO)
Historical lean: Jerwin Ancajas 52.83%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Historical win probability: 52.83%
Closing odds: 2.75
Closing implied: 36.36%
Expected ROI (1u): 45.29%
Value edge: 16.47%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-23 19:12:29 UTC

Jerwin Ancajas

Full name: Jerwin Juntilla Ancajas
Age: 34
Fighter rank: #264
Current model score: 62.59
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.604
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 168cm / 169cm
Nationality: PH
Career snapshot: 37-4-2 (24 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

59.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.800

77.0 Ancajas Confidence High 0.750

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.690

74.0 Ancajas Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

80.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.620

73.0 Ancajas Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

66.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.660

71.0 Ancajas Confidence Medium 0.690

Defensive Skill

79.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.720

64.0 Ancajas Confidence Medium 0.640

Distance Footwork Control

81.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.710

66.0 Ancajas Confidence Medium 0.610

Ring Iq Adaptability

83.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.740

70.0 Ancajas Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

74.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.580

72.0 Ancajas Confidence Medium 0.600

Chin

76.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.550

61.0 Ancajas Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

84.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.780

76.0 Ancajas Confidence Medium 0.700

Style Profile Inoue: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Ancajas: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.580

18.0 Ancajas Confidence Low 0.430

Out Boxer

43.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.780

16.0 Ancajas Confidence Low 0.410

Power Slugger

6.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.850

17.0 Ancajas Confidence Medium 0.500

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.670

37.0 Ancajas Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Puncher

15.0 Inoue Confidence Low 0.460

12.0 Ancajas Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Interaction Inoue vs southpaw · Ancajas vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

43.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.630

64.0 Ancajas Confidence Medium 0.690

Vs Southpaw

57.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.630

36.0 Ancajas Confidence Medium 0.690

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Inoue

100 Ancajas

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Inoue

33.33 Ancajas

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Inoue

33.33 Ancajas

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.4 Inoue

49.67 Ancajas

Trend Score Last 5

80 Inoue

85 Ancajas

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.95 Inoue

100 Ancajas

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

11.9 Inoue

45.42 Ancajas

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Inoue

33.33 Ancajas

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.4 Inoue

51.15 Ancajas

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Inoue

85 Ancajas

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Inoue stays in class.

Ancajas stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Inoue height: 164.0cm reach: 164.0cm

Ancajas height: 168.0cm reach: 169.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Ancajas.

Advantage: Ancajas +9.0cm

Stance Interaction

Inoue vs southpaw: 57.0

Ancajas vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: low advantage Ancajas.

Advantage: Ancajas

Style Interaction

Inoue style: Out Boxer

Ancajas style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral