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Cafu vs Tanaka 14 Oct 2024 Result: Cafu Historical result Pick 70.97% Prediction: Incorrect Flyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Phumelele Cafu (S D)

Historical lean Kosei Tanaka 70.97%

Prediction result Incorrect

Cafu odds 7.5000

Tanaka odds 1.1000

Cafu implied 13.33%

Tanaka implied 90.91%

Closing odds 1.1

Closing implied 90.91%

Expected return 0.7807

ROI -21.93%

Edge -19.94%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:56:58 UTC

Fighter details
PC
Phumelele Cafu

Score 59.39 · 11-1-3 (8 KO)

Full name Phumelele Cafu

Age 27 · Rank #379 · Confidence Medium 0.534

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 163cm · ZA

KT
Kosei Tanaka

Score 76.69 · 20-2-0 (11 KO)

Full name Kosei Tanaka

Age 30 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.656

Stance Orthodox · H/R 164cm / 164cm · JP

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

75.2 Cafu Confidence High 0.760

77.7 Tanaka Confidence High 0.770

Punching Accuracy

54.4 Cafu Confidence Low 0.460

92.0 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.700

Hand Speed

66.0 Cafu Confidence Low 0.440

95.0 Tanaka Confidence High 0.760

Pace Pressure

69.1 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.570

87.0 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.710

Defensive Skill

66.1 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.500

78.6 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.690

Distance Footwork Control

65.2 Cafu Confidence Low 0.470

86.4 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.660

Ring Iq Adaptability

69.8 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.610

92.1 Tanaka Confidence High 0.750

Counter Punching

64.9 Cafu Confidence Low 0.390

85.1 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.620

Chin

65.3 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.520

70.3 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.660

Cardio Engine

70.0 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.660

90.6 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.720

Style Profile Cafu: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Tanaka: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Cafu Confidence Low 0.490

22.0 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.550

Out Boxer

14.0 Cafu Confidence Low 0.430

16.0 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.520

Power Slugger

24.0 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.610

14.0 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.600

Boxer Puncher

32.0 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.670

34.0 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Puncher

12.0 Cafu Confidence Low 0.310

14.0 Tanaka Confidence Low 0.430

Stance Interaction Cafu vs orthodox  ·  Tanaka vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.590

58.0 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.650

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.590

42.0 Tanaka Confidence Medium 0.650

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Cafu

66.67 Tanaka

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Cafu

33.33 Tanaka

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Cafu

0 Tanaka

Opponent Rating Last 3

71 Cafu

59.95 Tanaka

Trend Score Last 5

80 Cafu

80 Tanaka

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

70.83 Cafu

80.7 Tanaka

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

45.83 Cafu

42.98 Tanaka

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Cafu

0 Tanaka

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

71 Cafu

59.95 Tanaka

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85.63 Cafu

80 Tanaka

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Cafu moves down 1 class.

Tanaka moves down 1 class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Cafu height: 168.0cm reach: 163.0cm

Tanaka height: 164.0cm reach: 164.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Cafu.

Advantage: Cafu +3.0cm

Stance Interaction

Cafu vs orthodox: 58.0

Tanaka vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Cafu style: Boxer Puncher

Tanaka style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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