Katie Taylor vs Amanda Serrano

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Historical result As-of 2025-07-11

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Taylor vs Serrano 11 Jul 2025 Result: Taylor Historical result Pick 54.40% Prediction: Correct Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Katie Taylor (M D)

Historical lean Katie Taylor 54.40%

Prediction result Correct

Taylor odds 2.4300

Serrano odds 1.6667

Taylor implied 41.15%

Serrano implied 60.00%

Closing odds 2.43

Closing implied 41.15%

Expected return 1.3220

ROI 32.20%

Edge 13.25%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:54:54 UTC

Fighter details

Katie Taylor

Score 77.72 · 25-1-0 (6 KO)

Full name Katie Taylor

Age 39 · Rank #13 · Confidence Medium 0.748

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 168cm · IE

Amanda Serrano

Score 74.80 · 49-4-1 (32 KO)

Full name Amanda Serrano

Age 37 · Rank #21 · Confidence Medium 0.691

Stance Southpaw · H/R 168cm / 166cm · PR

Katie Taylor

Full name: Katie Taylor
Age: 39
Fighter rank: #13
Current model score: 77.72
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.748
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 168cm
Nationality: IE
Career snapshot: 25-1-0 (6 KO)

11 Jul 2025

Confirmed Result

Result

Taylor

Historical result

100% Taylor

0% Serrano

Fight result: Katie Taylor (M D)
Historical lean: Katie Taylor 54.40%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 54.40%
Closing odds: 2.43
Closing implied: 41.15%
Expected ROI (1u): 32.20%
Value edge: 13.25%
Lean assessment: Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-10 12:54:54 UTC

Amanda Serrano

Full name: Amanda Serrano
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #21
Current model score: 74.80
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.691
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 168cm / 166cm
Nationality: PR
Career snapshot: 49-4-1 (32 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

50.2 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.740

88.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.810

Punching Accuracy

90.3 Taylor Confidence High 0.800

84.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.680

Hand Speed

92.1 Taylor Confidence High 0.780

82.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.620

Pace Pressure

89.5 Taylor Confidence High 0.790

86.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.760

Defensive Skill

88.4 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.740

78.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.630

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Taylor Confidence High 0.770

79.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.600

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Taylor Confidence High 0.830

87.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.790

Counter Punching

90.3 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.720

80.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.550

Chin

93.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.760

83.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

87.9 Taylor Confidence High 0.830

88.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.800

Style Profile Taylor: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Serrano: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.630

24.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.680

Out Boxer

34.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.790

12.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

6.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.880

26.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.800

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Taylor Confidence High 0.760

32.0 Serrano Confidence High 0.830

Counter Puncher

12.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.500

6.0 Serrano Confidence Low 0.410

Stance Interaction Taylor vs southpaw · Serrano vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.700

68.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.720

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Taylor Confidence Medium 0.700

32.0 Serrano Confidence Medium 0.720

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Taylor

100 Serrano

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Taylor

66.67 Serrano

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Taylor

100 Serrano

Opponent Rating Last 3

74.86 Taylor

76.53 Serrano

Trend Score Last 5

85 Taylor

80 Serrano

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Taylor

100 Serrano

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

13.04 Taylor

66.67 Serrano

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Taylor

100 Serrano

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

74.86 Taylor

76.53 Serrano

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

92.5 Taylor

90 Serrano

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Taylor moves up 1 class.

Serrano moves up 3 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Taylor.

Advantage: Taylor

Height Reach Delta

Taylor height: 165.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Serrano height: 168.0cm reach: 166.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Serrano.

Advantage: Serrano +1.0cm

Stance Interaction

Taylor vs southpaw: 58.0

Serrano vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Serrano.

Advantage: Serrano

Style Interaction

Taylor style: Out Boxer

Serrano style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral