Joshafat Ortiz vs Justin Viloria

Data as of: 2026-06-09 00:58:23 UTC Historical result As-of 2025-09-11

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Ortiz vs Viloria 11 Sep 2025 Result: Viloria Historical result Pick 77.20% Prediction: Correct Super featherweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Justin Viloria (U D)

Historical lean Justin Viloria 77.20%

Prediction result Correct

Ortiz odds 7.5000

Viloria odds 1.1250

Ortiz implied 13.33%

Viloria implied 88.89%

Closing odds 1.125

Closing implied 88.89%

Expected return 0.8685

ROI -13.15%

Edge -11.69%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-21 19:09:55 UTC

Fighter details

Joshafat Ortiz

Score 49.77 · 13-2-1 (6 KO)

Full name Joshafat Amilcar Ortiz

Age 30 · Rank #515 · Confidence Low 0.453

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 173cm · US

Justin Viloria

Score 61.11 · 9-0-0 (0 KO)

Full name Justin Kawika Viloria

Age 21 · Rank #328 · Confidence Low 0.479

Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 175cm · US

Joshafat Ortiz

Full name: Joshafat Amilcar Ortiz
Age: 30
Fighter rank: #515
Current model score: 49.77
Fighter confidence: Low 0.453
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 13-2-1 (6 KO)

11 Sep 2025

Confirmed Result

Result

Viloria

Historical result

0% Ortiz

100% Viloria

Fight result: Justin Viloria (U D)
Historical lean: Justin Viloria 77.20%
Prediction result: Correct
Historical win probability: 77.20%
Closing odds: 1.125
Closing implied: 88.89%
Expected ROI (1u): -13.15%
Value edge: -11.69%
Lean assessment: No Value

Closing odds captured 2026-04-21 19:09:55 UTC

Justin Viloria

Full name: Justin Kawika Viloria
Age: 21
Fighter rank: #328
Current model score: 61.11
Fighter confidence: Low 0.479
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 175cm / 175cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 9-0-0 (0 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

62.0 Ortiz Confidence Medium 0.630

74.0 Viloria Confidence Medium 0.630

Punching Accuracy

58.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.400

69.0 Viloria Confidence Medium 0.500

Hand Speed

60.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.330

71.0 Viloria Confidence Low 0.460

Pace Pressure

59.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.380

70.0 Viloria Confidence Medium 0.550

Defensive Skill

52.0 Ortiz Confidence Medium 0.500

66.0 Viloria Confidence Low 0.420

Distance Footwork Control

55.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.360

68.0 Viloria Confidence Low 0.440

Ring Iq Adaptability

56.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.420

67.0 Viloria Confidence Low 0.480

Counter Punching

54.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.300

64.0 Viloria Confidence Low 0.370

Chin

57.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.480

65.0 Viloria Confidence Low 0.330

Cardio Engine

61.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.470

72.0 Viloria Confidence Medium 0.580

Style Profile Ortiz: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Viloria: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.420

16.0 Viloria Confidence Low 0.420

Out Boxer

24.0 Ortiz Confidence Medium 0.580

20.0 Viloria Confidence Low 0.480

Power Slugger

12.0 Ortiz Confidence Medium 0.550

21.0 Viloria Confidence Low 0.450

Boxer Puncher

38.0 Ortiz Confidence Medium 0.670

33.0 Viloria Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Puncher

12.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.310

10.0 Viloria Confidence Very Low 0.240

Stance Interaction Ortiz vs southpaw · Viloria vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.450

62.0 Viloria Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Ortiz Confidence Low 0.450

38.0 Viloria Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Ortiz

100 Viloria

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Ortiz

33.33 Viloria

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Ortiz

100 Viloria

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.58 Ortiz

52.51 Viloria

Trend Score Last 5

60 Ortiz

100 Viloria

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.17 Ortiz

100 Viloria

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

37.5 Ortiz

50 Viloria

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Ortiz

100 Viloria

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.58 Ortiz

52.51 Viloria

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Ortiz

100 Viloria

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Ortiz stays in class.

Viloria moves down 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Ortiz.

Advantage: Ortiz

Height Reach Delta

Ortiz height: 170.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Viloria height: 175.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Viloria.

Advantage: Viloria +7.0cm

Stance Interaction

Ortiz vs southpaw: 38.0

Viloria vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Viloria.

Advantage: Viloria

Style Interaction

Ortiz style: Boxer Puncher

Viloria style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral