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Harper vs Baumgardner 13 Nov 2021 Result: Baumgardner Historical result Pick 60.14% Prediction: Correct Super featherweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Alycia Baumgardner (TKO)

Historical lean Alycia Baumgardner 60.14%

Prediction result Correct

Harper odds 1.3448

Baumgardner odds 4.2000

Harper implied 74.36%

Baumgardner implied 23.81%

Closing odds 4.2

Closing implied 23.81%

Expected return 2.5257

ROI 152.57%

Edge 36.33%

Lean Value

Bout Historical result

Closing odds captured 2026-04-23 19:15:32 UTC

Fighter details
TH
Terri Harper

Score 63.77 · 16-3-2 (6 KO)

Full name Terri Leigh Harper

Age 29 · Rank #275 · Confidence Medium 0.676

Stance Orthodox · H/R 174cm / 165cm · GB

AB
Alycia Baumgardner

Score 67.61 · 17-1-0 (7 KO)

Full name Alycia Baumgardner

Age 32 · Rank #121 · Confidence Medium 0.624

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 168cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

66.0 Harper Confidence Medium 0.740

76.0 Baumgardner Confidence High 0.770

Punching Accuracy

73.0 Harper Confidence Medium 0.670

74.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.640

Hand Speed

71.0 Harper Confidence Medium 0.630

80.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.680

Pace Pressure

68.0 Harper Confidence Medium 0.660

70.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

62.0 Harper Confidence Medium 0.720

72.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.620

Distance Footwork Control

76.0 Harper Confidence High 0.750

75.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.640

Ring Iq Adaptability

79.0 Harper Confidence High 0.790

78.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Punching

69.0 Harper Confidence Medium 0.580

79.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.670

Chin

56.0 Harper Confidence High 0.760

73.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.580

Cardio Engine

74.0 Harper Confidence Medium 0.740

81.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.740

Style Profile Harper: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Baumgardner: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Harper Confidence Medium 0.550

12.0 Baumgardner Confidence Low 0.470

Out Boxer

40.0 Harper Confidence High 0.770

21.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

8.0 Harper Confidence High 0.750

18.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Harper Confidence Medium 0.730

36.0 Baumgardner Confidence High 0.770

Counter Puncher

10.0 Harper Confidence Low 0.420

13.0 Baumgardner Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Interaction Harper vs orthodox  ·  Baumgardner vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Harper Confidence Medium 0.620

62.0 Baumgardner Confidence Medium 0.550

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Harper Confidence Medium 0.620

38.0 Baumgardner Confidence Low 0.420

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Harper

100 Baumgardner

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Harper

0 Baumgardner

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Harper

66.67 Baumgardner

Opponent Rating Last 3

62.74 Harper

59.67 Baumgardner

Trend Score Last 5

56.25 Harper

100 Baumgardner

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

72.22 Harper

100 Baumgardner

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

16.67 Harper

23.33 Baumgardner

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Harper

66.67 Baumgardner

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

62.74 Harper

59.67 Baumgardner

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

70.63 Harper

100 Baumgardner

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Harper moves down 1 class.

Baumgardner stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Baumgardner.

Advantage: Baumgardner

Height Reach Delta

Harper height: 174.0cm reach: 165.0cm

Baumgardner height: 168.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Harper.

Advantage: Harper +3.0cm

Stance Interaction

Harper vs orthodox: 42.0

Baumgardner vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Baumgardner.

Advantage: Baumgardner

Style Interaction

Harper style: Out Boxer

Baumgardner style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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