Model:

Lateef Alabi vs Marcus Sutherland

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Alabi vs Sutherland 17 Apr 2026 Model lean: Sutherland Custom 53.13% ROI: -36.24% Featherweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Marcus Sutherland 53.13%

Alabi odds 6.5000

Sutherland odds 1.2000

Alabi implied 15.38%

Sutherland implied 83.33%

Market odds 1.2

Implied probability 83.33%

Expected return 0.6376

ROI -36.24%

Edge -30.20%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:34 UTC

Fighter details

LA

Lateef Alabi

Score 7.53 · 5-0-0 (0 KO)

Full name Lateef Bayo Alabi

Age 29 · Rank #637 · Confidence N/A

Stance Orthodox · H/R N/A / N/A · IE

MS

Marcus Sutherland

Score 9.62 · 10-0-0 (5 KO)

Full name Marcus Sutherland

Age 21 · Rank #567 · Confidence N/A

Stance Orthodox · H/R N/A / N/A · GB

LA

Lateef Alabi

Full name: Lateef Bayo Alabi
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #637
Current model score: 7.53
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: N/A / N/A
Nationality: IE
Career snapshot: 5-0-0 (0 KO)

17 Apr 2026

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Sutherland

Custom

47% Alabi

53% Sutherland

Model lean: Marcus Sutherland 53.13%
Win probability: 53.13%
Market odds: 1.2
Implied probability: 83.33%
Expected ROI (1u): -36.24%
Value edge: -30.20%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-21 18:56:34 UTC

MS

Marcus Sutherland

Full name: Marcus Sutherland
Age: 21
Fighter rank: #567
Current model score: 9.62
Fighter confidence: N/A
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: N/A / N/A
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 10-0-0 (5 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Punching Accuracy

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Hand Speed

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Pace Pressure

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Defensive Skill

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Distance Footwork Control

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Ring Iq Adaptability

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Counter Punching

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Chin

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Cardio Engine

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Style Profile Alabi: vs Sutherland: Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Out Boxer

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Power Slugger

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Boxer Puncher

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Counter Puncher

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Stance Interaction Alabi vs orthodox · Sutherland vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Vs Southpaw

N/A Alabi Confidence No Data

N/A Sutherland Confidence No Data

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Alabi

100 Sutherland

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Alabi

66.67 Sutherland

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Alabi

100 Sutherland

Opponent Rating Last 3

46.67 Alabi

42.67 Sutherland

Trend Score Last 5

100 Alabi

100 Sutherland

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Alabi

100 Sutherland

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Alabi

66.67 Sutherland

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Alabi

100 Sutherland

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

46.67 Alabi

43 Sutherland

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Alabi

100 Sutherland

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Alabi stays in class.

Sutherland stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Alabi height: N/A reach: N/A

Sutherland height: N/A reach: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Alabi vs orthodox: N/A

Sutherland vs orthodox: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Alabi style:

Sutherland style:

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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