OWN YOUR EDGE
Coyle vs Jr. 14 Feb 2025 Model lean: Mielnicki Custom 69.07% ROI: -10.19% Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Vito Mielnicki 69.07%

Coyle odds 4.2500

Jr. odds 1.3003

Coyle implied 23.53%

Jr. implied 76.91%

Market odds 1.3003

Implied probability 76.91%

Expected return 0.8981

ROI -10.19%

Edge -7.84%

Lean No Value

Bout Custom

Odds updated 2026-04-21 19:33:42 UTC

Fighter details
CC
Connor Coyle

Score 51.82 · 21-0-0 (7 KO)

Full name Connor Coyle

Age 36 · Rank #490 · Confidence Medium 0.553

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / N/A · IE

VJ
Vito Mielnicki Jr.

Score 63.61 · 23-1-0 (13 KO)

Full name Vito Mielnicki Jr.

Age 24 · Rank #246 · Confidence Medium 0.548

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 178cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

62.0 Coyle Confidence Medium 0.720

76.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

68.0 Coyle Confidence Medium 0.580

71.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

64.0 Coyle Confidence Low 0.450

74.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

67.0 Coyle Confidence Medium 0.600

68.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.550

Defensive Skill

69.0 Coyle Confidence Medium 0.570

66.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.520

Distance Footwork Control

70.0 Coyle Confidence Medium 0.560

69.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring Iq Adaptability

73.0 Coyle Confidence Medium 0.660

72.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Punching

63.0 Coyle Confidence Low 0.420

65.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.450

Chin

71.0 Coyle Confidence Low 0.440

67.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.440

Cardio Engine

74.0 Coyle Confidence Medium 0.680

73.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Style Profile Coyle: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Jr.: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Coyle Confidence Low 0.450

14.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.420

Out Boxer

28.0 Coyle Confidence Medium 0.590

24.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.610

Power Slugger

8.0 Coyle Confidence Medium 0.680

18.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Coyle Confidence Medium 0.630

36.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Puncher

12.0 Coyle Confidence Low 0.310

8.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.310

Stance Interaction Coyle vs orthodox  ·  Jr. vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Coyle Confidence Medium 0.530

72.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Coyle Confidence Medium 0.530

28.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

N/A Coyle

100 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3

N/A Coyle

33.33 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

N/A Coyle

100 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3

N/A Coyle

57.33 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5

N/A Coyle

100 Jr.

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

N/A Coyle

100 Jr.

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

N/A Coyle

45.24 Jr.

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

N/A Coyle

100 Jr.

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

N/A Coyle

57.33 Jr.

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

N/A Coyle

100 Jr.

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Coyle stays in class.

Jr. stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Coyle height: 183.0cm reach: N/A

Jr. height: 183.0cm reach: 178.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Coyle vs orthodox: 64.0

Jr. vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: low advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.

Style Interaction

Coyle style: Boxer Puncher

Jr. style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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