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Results

Data as of: 2026-08-09 17:19:31 UTC

Results only confirm and affect headline metrics when winner + closing odds available.

Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.

Recent Results

Methodology Page 1 of 9 · 88 rows
Result filters Expand

Kaye Scott vs Claressa Shields · WINNER: Claressa Shields · CORRECT

Middleweight · 16 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 16 / 1.0286 · NO VALUE · Pick Claressa Shields 59%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-21 02:00:12 UTC

Emmanuel Tagoe vs Ernesto Mercado · STATUS: Pending · PENDING

Super lightweight · 16 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 11 / 1.04 · NO VALUE · Pick Ernesto Mercado 72%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-15 08:21:09 UTC

Roamer Angulo vs Atif Oberlton · WINNER: Atif Oberlton · CORRECT

Light heavyweight · 15 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 8.3 / 1.05 · NO VALUE · Pick Atif Oberlton 73%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-12 14:55:24 UTC

Danielle Perkins vs Olivia Curry · STATUS: Pending · PENDING

Light heavyweight · 15 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.1333 / 5.3 · VALUE · Pick Danielle Perkins 90%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-12 14:46:36 UTC

Michael Zerafa vs Alejandro Ortiz · WINNER: Michael Zerafa · CORRECT

Middleweight · 12 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.0769 / 6.8 · NO VALUE · Pick Michael Zerafa 73%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-19 02:13:05 UTC

Sam Hickey vs Brad Axe · WINNER: Sam Hickey · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 8 · 1.0769 / 6.8 · NO VALUE · Pick Sam Hickey 82%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-03 11:01:08 UTC

Tyler Denny vs Callum Walsh · WINNER: Callum Walsh · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 3.9 / 1.2439 · NO VALUE · Pick Callum Walsh 63%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-30 02:43:44 UTC

Tammara Thibeault vs Desley Robinson · WINNER: Tammara Thibeault · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 1.2381 / 3.85 · NO VALUE · Pick Tammara Thibeault 70%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-17 02:58:26 UTC

Sean Hemphill vs Gradus Kraus · WINNER: Gradus Kraus · CORRECT

Light heavyweight · 08 Aug 2026 · STOPPAGE (REPORTED) · 10/10 · 6.4 / 1.0909 · NO VALUE · Pick Gradus Kraus 53%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-23 03:19:42 UTC

Shurretta Metcalf vs Amanda Galle · WINNER: Amanda Galle · INCORRECT

Super flyweight · 08 Aug 2026 · UD · SCHEDULED 8 · 2.43 / 1.5263 · VALUE · Pick Shurretta Metcalf 68%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-17 03:04:10 UTC

Tracked Prediction Data

Unconfirmed results stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.

Methodology Page 1 of 5 · 88 rows
Prediction filters Expand

Bets

25

ROI

16.17%

Profit

4.0415

Avg Odds

3.2199

Accuracy

52.00%

Win/Loss

83

Avg Diff

20.92%

Tracked

88

Advanced

Forecast Quality

83 confirmed

Brier score

0.170

Log loss

0.520

ECE

11.87%

Brier skill vs close

-48.38%

Market 0.114 · 83 rows

Forecast Band Rows Avg Forecast Observed Gap
50-60% 27 55.41% 62.96% 7.55%
60-70% 27 65.13% 81.48% 16.36%
70-80% 19 74.51% 84.21% 9.70%
80-90% 10 84.47% 100.00% 15.53%
90-100% 0 N/A N/A N/A

Market And Strategy

Locked value only · 25 closing lines

Average CLV

+3.44%

Median CLV

0.00%

Beat-close rate

32.00%

Model-implied EV at close

+85.85%

Strategy Comparison

1u flat stake

Value only Active

25 bets

ROI 16.17% · Profit 4.0415 · Accuracy 52.00%

+Diff

25 bets

ROI 16.17% · Profit 4.0415 · Accuracy 52.00%

+5% diff

22 bets

ROI 9.65% · Profit 2.1239 · Accuracy 45.45%

+10% diff

19 bets

ROI 7.67% · Profit 1.4572 · Accuracy 42.11%

60%+ model

56 bets

ROI 4.84% · Profit 2.7120 · Accuracy 85.71%

All leans

83 bets

ROI 5.80% · Profit 4.8111 · Accuracy 78.31%

Dog +diff

17 bets

ROI -0.88% · Profit -0.1500 · Accuracy 35.29%

Prediction bout cards Expand

Kaye Scott vs Claressa Shields

16 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Claressa Shields

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

59.30%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

16 / 1.0286

Implied

97.22%

Diff

-37.92%

ROI

-39.01%

Profit

N/A

Emmanuel Tagoe vs Ernesto Mercado

16 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Ernesto Mercado

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

71.83%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

11 / 1.04

Implied

96.15%

Diff

-24.32%

ROI

-25.30%

Profit

N/A

Roamer Angulo vs Atif Oberlton

15 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Atif Oberlton

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

73.22%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

8.3 / 1.05

Implied

95.24%

Diff

-22.02%

ROI

-23.12%

Profit

N/A

Danielle Perkins vs Olivia Curry

15 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Danielle Perkins

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

89.88%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

1.1333 / 5.3

Implied

88.24%

Diff

1.64%

ROI

1.86%

Profit

N/A

Michael Zerafa vs Alejandro Ortiz

12 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Michael Zerafa

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

73.21%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

92.86%

Diff

-19.65%

ROI

-21.16%

Profit

N/A

Sam Hickey vs Brad Axe

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Sam Hickey

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

81.79%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

92.86%

Diff

-11.07%

ROI

-11.92%

Profit

N/A

Tyler Denny vs Callum Walsh

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Callum Walsh

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

62.79%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

3.9 / 1.2439

Implied

80.39%

Diff

-17.61%

ROI

-21.90%

Profit

N/A

Tammara Thibeault vs Desley Robinson

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Tammara Thibeault

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

70.25%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.2381 / 3.85

Implied

80.77%

Diff

-10.52%

ROI

-13.02%

Profit

N/A

Sean Hemphill vs Gradus Kraus

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Gradus Kraus

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

52.73%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

6.4 / 1.0909

Implied

91.67%

Diff

-38.94%

ROI

-42.48%

Profit

N/A

Shurretta Metcalf vs Amanda Galle

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Shurretta Metcalf

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

67.93%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

2.43 / 1.5263

Implied

41.15%

Diff

26.78%

ROI

65.07%

Profit

-1.0000

John Parker vs Nikolas Charalampous

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Nikolas Charalampous

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

59.70%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

2.75 / 1.4444

Implied

69.23%

Diff

-9.53%

ROI

-13.77%

Profit

N/A

Paul Kroll vs Charles Conwell

02 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Charles Conwell

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

61.38%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

4.3 / 1.1818

Implied

84.62%

Diff

-23.23%

ROI

-27.46%

Profit

N/A

Raúl Curiel vs Quinton Randall

02 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Quinton Randall

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

53.30%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

16.13%

Diff

37.17%

ROI

230.43%

Profit

-1.0000

Fabian Macias vs Aaron Coley

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Fabian Macias

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

68.27%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0625 / 7.6

Implied

94.12%

Diff

-25.85%

ROI

-27.47%

Profit

N/A

Yeyery Castillo vs Dalis Kaleiopu

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Dalis Kaleiopu

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

85.67%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

11 / 1.05

Implied

95.24%

Diff

-9.57%

ROI

-10.05%

Profit

N/A

Jorge Valencia vs Joel Iriarte

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Joel Iriarte

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

81.44%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

17 / 1.01

Implied

99.01%

Diff

-17.57%

ROI

-17.74%

Profit

N/A

Lee Reeves vs Gary Cully

01 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Gary Cully

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

76.51%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

2.06 / 1.7143

Implied

58.33%

Diff

18.18%

ROI

31.16%

Profit

0.7143

William Zepeda vs Lamont Roach

01 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

William Segura

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

58.08%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

2.64 / 1.4651

Implied

37.88%

Diff

20.20%

ROI

53.32%

Profit

1.6400

Model: Very high subjective

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