Yan Guerrero vs Cristian Cruz
17 May 2026
Lean
Yan Guerrero
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
79.59%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
93.37%
Diff
-13.78%
ROI
-14.76%
Profit
0.0710
Results
Data as of: 2026-05-17 05:50:07 UTC
Rolling window. Upcoming stays live until confirmation or the day after the fight; overdue unresolved bouts appear here as pending.
Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.
Recent Results
Methodology
Page 1 of 2 · 13 rows
Result filters
Yan Guerrero vs Cristian Cruz · WINNER: Yan Guerrero · CORRECT
Featherweight · 17 May 2026 · UD · R9 · 1.0714 / 8.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Yan Guerrero 80%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Nahir Albright vs Keyshawn Davis · WINNER: Keyshawn Davis · CORRECT
Super lightweight · 17 May 2026 · UD · R11 · 13 / 1.0357 · NO VALUE · Pick Keyshawn Davis 61%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Filip Hrgovir vs Dave Allen · WINNER: Filip Hrgovir · CORRECT
Heavyweight · 16 May 2026 · TKO · R9 · 1.1099 / 6.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Filip Hrgović 75%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Eric Howard vs Dedrick Crocklem · WINNER: Dedrick Crocklem · CORRECT
Super featherweight · 16 May 2026 · UD · N/A · 9.5 / 1.063 · NO VALUE · Pick Dedrick Crocklem 68%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Shane Mosley vs Serhii Bohachuk · WINNER: Shane Mosley · CORRECT
Middleweight · 11 May 2026 · TKO · R9 · 3.3 / 1.3125 · VALUE · Pick Shane Mosley 59% · ROI +77.6%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Andreas Katzourakis vs Misael Olivas · STATUS: Pending · PENDING
Middleweight · 10 May 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.4762 / 2.6 · VALUE · Pick Misael Uziel Rodríguez Olivas 60%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois · WINNER: Daniel Dubois · CORRECT
Heavyweight · 09 May 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 1.7042 / 2.12 · VALUE · Pick Daniel Dubois 51% · ROI +7.4%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Carlos Mercado vs Atif Oberlton · WINNER: Atif Oberlton · INCORRECT
Super middleweight · 09 May 2026 · TKO · R10 · 6.5 / 1.1111 · VALUE · Pick Carlos Mercado 53%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Angelo Leo vs Ra'eese Aleem · STATUS: Pending · PENDING
Featherweight · 09 May 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.3497 / 3.05 · NO VALUE · Pick Angelo Miguel Leo 59%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Cobia Breedy vs Erdenebatyn Tsendbaatar · STATUS: Pending · PENDING
Super featherweight · 02 May 2026 · N/A · N/A · 7 / 1.1 · NO VALUE · Pick Erdenebatyn Tsendbaatar 59%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-01 00:30:05 UTC
Yan Guerrero vs Cristian Cruz · WINNER: Yan Guerrero · CORRECT
Featherweight · 17 May 2026 · UD · R9 · 1.0714 / 8.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Yan Guerrero 80%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Nahir Albright vs Keyshawn Davis · WINNER: Keyshawn Davis · CORRECT
Super lightweight · 17 May 2026 · UD · R11 · 13 / 1.0357 · NO VALUE · Pick Keyshawn Davis 61%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Filip Hrgovir vs Dave Allen · WINNER: Filip Hrgovir · CORRECT
Heavyweight · 16 May 2026 · TKO · R9 · 1.1099 / 6.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Filip Hrgović 75%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Eric Howard vs Dedrick Crocklem · WINNER: Dedrick Crocklem · CORRECT
Super featherweight · 16 May 2026 · UD · N/A · 9.5 / 1.063 · NO VALUE · Pick Dedrick Crocklem 68%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC
Shane Mosley vs Serhii Bohachuk · WINNER: Shane Mosley · CORRECT
Middleweight · 11 May 2026 · TKO · R9 · 3.3 / 1.3125 · VALUE · Pick Shane Mosley 59% · ROI +77.6%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Andreas Katzourakis vs Misael Olivas · STATUS: Pending · PENDING
Middleweight · 10 May 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.4762 / 2.6 · VALUE · Pick Misael Uziel Rodríguez Olivas 60%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois · WINNER: Daniel Dubois · CORRECT
Heavyweight · 09 May 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 1.7042 / 2.12 · VALUE · Pick Daniel Dubois 51% · ROI +7.4%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Carlos Mercado vs Atif Oberlton · WINNER: Atif Oberlton · INCORRECT
Super middleweight · 09 May 2026 · TKO · R10 · 6.5 / 1.1111 · VALUE · Pick Carlos Mercado 53%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Angelo Leo vs Ra'eese Aleem · STATUS: Pending · PENDING
Featherweight · 09 May 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.3497 / 3.05 · NO VALUE · Pick Angelo Miguel Leo 59%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-09 18:05:08 UTC
Cobia Breedy vs Erdenebatyn Tsendbaatar · STATUS: Pending · PENDING
Super featherweight · 02 May 2026 · N/A · N/A · 7 / 1.1 · NO VALUE · Pick Erdenebatyn Tsendbaatar 59%
Last model prediction time: 2026-05-01 00:30:05 UTC
Tracked Prediction Data
Treats every locked model lean with usable odds as a one-unit strategy bet. Pending rows stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.
Methodology
Page 1 of 1 · 9 rows
Prediction filters
Tracked
9
Win/Loss
7
Bets
7
Profit
2.4469
Avg Diff
-2.99%
More prediction stats
Accuracy
85.71%
ROI
34.96%
Profit (u)
2.4469
Avg diff vs implied
-2.99%
Strategy Comparison
1u flat stake| Strategy | Bets | Profit | ROI | Accuracy | Avg Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Locked value only | 3 | 2.1200 | 70.67% | 66.67% | 21.88% |
| Any positive diff | 3 | 2.1200 | 70.67% | 66.67% | 21.88% |
| Diff vs implied >= 5% | 2 | 1.0000 | 50.00% | 50.00% | 31.08% |
| Diff vs implied >= 10% | 2 | 1.0000 | 50.00% | 50.00% | 31.08% |
| Model confidence >= 60% | 4 | 0.3269 | 8.17% | 100.00% | -21.65% |
| All model leans | 7 | 2.4469 | 34.96% | 85.71% | -2.99% |
| Underdog positive diff | 3 | 2.1200 | 70.67% | 66.67% | 21.88% |
Value only
3 bets
ROI 70.67% · Profit 2.1200 · Accuracy 66.67%
+Diff
3 bets
ROI 70.67% · Profit 2.1200 · Accuracy 66.67%
+5% diff
2 bets
ROI 50.00% · Profit 1.0000 · Accuracy 50.00%
+10% diff
2 bets
ROI 50.00% · Profit 1.0000 · Accuracy 50.00%
60%+ model
4 bets
ROI 8.17% · Profit 0.3269 · Accuracy 100.00%
All leans
7 bets
ROI 34.96% · Profit 2.4469 · Accuracy 85.71%
Dog +diff
3 bets
ROI 70.67% · Profit 2.1200 · Accuracy 66.67%
| Date | Bout | Model Lean | Win % | Implied % | Diff vs Implied | ROI % | Action | Outcome | Profit | Verdict | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Yan Guerrero vs Cristian Cruz | Yan Guerrero | 79.59% | 93.37% | -13.78% | -14.76% | BET | WIN | 0.0710 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 17 May 2026 | Nahir Albright vs Keyshawn Davis | Keyshawn Davis | 61.23% | 92.34% | -31.10% | -33.68% | BET | WIN | 0.0830 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 16 May 2026 | Filip Hrgovir vs Dave Allen | Filip Hrgović | 74.86% | 90.10% | -15.23% | -16.91% | BET | WIN | 0.1099 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 16 May 2026 | Eric Howard vs Dedrick Crocklem | Dedrick Crocklem | 67.60% | 94.07% | -26.48% | -28.14% | BET | WIN | 0.0630 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 11 May 2026 | Shane Mosley vs Serhii Bohachuk | Shane Mosley | 59.21% | 33.33% | 25.88% | 77.63% | BET | WIN | 2.0000 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 10 May 2026 | Andreas Katzourakis vs Misael Olivas | Misael Uziel Rodríguez Olivas | 59.90% | 38.46% | 21.44% | 55.75% | BET | PENDING | N/A | Matchup | PENDING |
| 09 May 2026 | Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois | Daniel Dubois | 50.66% | 47.17% | 3.49% | 7.40% | BET | WIN | 1.1200 | Matchup | CORRECT |
| 09 May 2026 | Carlos Mercado vs Atif Oberlton | Carlos Mercado | 52.95% | 16.67% | 36.28% | 217.69% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | Matchup | INCORRECT |
| 09 May 2026 | Angelo Leo vs Ra'eese Aleem | Angelo Miguel Leo | 59.28% | 74.09% | -14.81% | -19.98% | BET | PENDING | N/A | Matchup | PENDING |
Prediction bout cards
Nahir Albright vs Keyshawn Davis
17 May 2026
Lean
Keyshawn Davis
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
61.23%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
92.34%
Diff
-31.10%
ROI
-33.68%
Profit
0.0830
Filip Hrgovir vs Dave Allen
16 May 2026
Lean
Filip Hrgović
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
74.86%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
90.10%
Diff
-15.23%
ROI
-16.91%
Profit
0.1099
Eric Howard vs Dedrick Crocklem
16 May 2026
Lean
Dedrick Crocklem
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
67.60%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
94.07%
Diff
-26.48%
ROI
-28.14%
Profit
0.0630
Shane Mosley vs Serhii Bohachuk
11 May 2026
Lean
Shane Mosley
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
59.21%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
33.33%
Diff
25.88%
ROI
77.63%
Profit
2.0000
Andreas Katzourakis vs Misael Olivas
10 May 2026
Lean
Misael Uziel Rodríguez Olivas
Verdict
PENDING
Win %
59.90%
Outcome
PENDING
Implied
38.46%
Diff
21.44%
ROI
55.75%
Profit
N/A
Fabio Wardley vs Daniel Dubois
09 May 2026
Lean
Daniel Dubois
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
50.66%
Outcome
WIN
Implied
47.17%
Diff
3.49%
ROI
7.40%
Profit
1.1200
Carlos Mercado vs Atif Oberlton
09 May 2026
Lean
Carlos Mercado
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
52.95%
Outcome
LOSS
Implied
16.67%
Diff
36.28%
ROI
217.69%
Profit
-1.0000
Angelo Leo vs Ra'eese Aleem
09 May 2026
Lean
Angelo Miguel Leo
Verdict
PENDING
Win %
59.28%
Outcome
PENDING
Implied
74.09%
Diff
-14.81%
ROI
-19.98%
Profit
N/A