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Results

Data as of: 2026-08-09 17:19:31 UTC

Results only confirm and affect headline metrics when winner + closing odds available.

Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.

Recent Results

Methodology Page 1 of 9 · 85 rows
Result filters Expand

Kaye Scott vs Claressa Shields · WINNER: Claressa Shields · INCORRECT

Middleweight · 16 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 16 / 1.0286 · VALUE · Pick Kaye Scott 77%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-21 02:00:12 UTC

Emmanuel Tagoe vs Ernesto Mercado · STATUS: Pending · PENDING

Super lightweight · 16 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 11 / 1.04 · NO VALUE · Pick Ernesto Mercado 86%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-15 08:21:09 UTC

Roamer Angulo vs Atif Oberlton · WINNER: Atif Oberlton · CORRECT

Light heavyweight · 15 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 8.3 / 1.05 · NO VALUE · Pick Atif Oberlton 50%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-12 14:55:24 UTC

Danielle Perkins vs Olivia Curry · STATUS: Pending · PENDING

Light heavyweight · 15 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.1333 / 5.3 · VALUE · Pick Danielle Perkins 88%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-12 14:46:36 UTC

Michael Zerafa vs Alejandro Ortiz · WINNER: Michael Zerafa · CORRECT

Middleweight · 12 Aug 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.0769 / 6.8 · NO VALUE · Pick Michael Zerafa 65%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-19 02:13:05 UTC

Sam Hickey vs Brad Axe · WINNER: Sam Hickey · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 8 · 1.0769 / 6.8 · NO VALUE · Pick Sam Hickey 78%

Last model prediction time: 2026-08-03 11:01:08 UTC

Tyler Denny vs Callum Walsh · WINNER: Callum Walsh · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 3.9 / 1.2439 · NO VALUE · Pick Callum Walsh 53%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-30 02:43:44 UTC

Tammara Thibeault vs Desley Robinson · WINNER: Tammara Thibeault · CORRECT

Middleweight · 08 Aug 2026 · N/A · SCHEDULED 10 · 1.2381 / 3.85 · VALUE · Pick Tammara Thibeault 92% · ROI +13.5%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-17 02:58:26 UTC

Sean Hemphill vs Gradus Kraus · WINNER: Gradus Kraus · INCORRECT

Light heavyweight · 08 Aug 2026 · STOPPAGE (REPORTED) · 10/10 · 6.4 / 1.0909 · VALUE · Pick Sean Hemphill 56%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-23 03:19:42 UTC

Shurretta Metcalf vs Amanda Galle · WINNER: Amanda Galle · INCORRECT

Super flyweight · 08 Aug 2026 · UD · SCHEDULED 8 · 2.43 / 1.5263 · VALUE · Pick Shurretta Metcalf 92%

Last model prediction time: 2026-07-17 03:04:10 UTC

Tracked Prediction Data

Unconfirmed results stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.

Methodology Page 1 of 5 · 85 rows
Prediction filters Expand

Bets

45

ROI

-24.88%

Profit

-11.1980

Avg Odds

4.9577

Accuracy

37.78%

Win/Loss

80

Avg Diff

37.70%

Tracked

85

Advanced

Forecast Quality

80 confirmed

Brier score

0.238

Log loss

0.674

ECE

13.47%

Brier skill vs close

-120.00%

Market 0.108 · 80 rows

Forecast Band Rows Avg Forecast Observed Gap
50-60% 16 53.99% 31.25% 22.74%
60-70% 21 66.60% 61.90% 4.69%
70-80% 15 76.57% 53.33% 23.24%
80-90% 16 85.49% 75.00% 10.49%
90-100% 12 91.57% 83.33% 8.23%

Market And Strategy

Locked value only · 45 closing lines

Average CLV

+0.94%

Median CLV

0.00%

Beat-close rate

26.67%

Model-implied EV at close

+262.62%

Strategy Comparison

1u flat stake

Value only Active

45 bets

ROI -24.88% · Profit -11.1980 · Accuracy 37.78%

+Diff

45 bets

ROI -24.88% · Profit -11.1980 · Accuracy 37.78%

+5% diff

40 bets

ROI -25.12% · Profit -10.0480 · Accuracy 35.00%

+10% diff

39 bets

ROI -23.20% · Profit -9.0480 · Accuracy 35.90%

60%+ model

64 bets

ROI -2.86% · Profit -1.8283 · Accuracy 67.19%

All leans

80 bets

ROI -14.90% · Profit -11.9173 · Accuracy 60.00%

Dog +diff

32 bets

ROI -47.34% · Profit -15.1500 · Accuracy 18.75%

Prediction bout cards Expand

Kaye Scott vs Claressa Shields

16 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Kaye Scott

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

76.85%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

16 / 1.0286

Implied

6.25%

Diff

70.60%

ROI

1,129.64%

Profit

-1.0000

Emmanuel Tagoe vs Ernesto Mercado

16 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Ernesto Mercado

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

85.81%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

11 / 1.04

Implied

96.15%

Diff

-10.34%

ROI

-10.75%

Profit

N/A

Roamer Angulo vs Atif Oberlton

15 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Atif Oberlton

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

50.00%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

8.3 / 1.05

Implied

95.24%

Diff

-45.24%

ROI

-47.50%

Profit

N/A

Danielle Perkins vs Olivia Curry

15 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Danielle Perkins

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

88.49%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

1.1333 / 5.3

Implied

88.24%

Diff

0.26%

ROI

0.29%

Profit

N/A

Michael Zerafa vs Alejandro Ortiz

12 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Michael Zerafa

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

64.57%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

92.86%

Diff

-28.29%

ROI

-30.47%

Profit

N/A

Sam Hickey vs Brad Axe

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Sam Hickey

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

77.90%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

92.86%

Diff

-14.96%

ROI

-16.11%

Profit

N/A

Tyler Denny vs Callum Walsh

08 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Callum Walsh

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

53.00%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

3.9 / 1.2439

Implied

80.39%

Diff

-27.40%

ROI

-34.08%

Profit

N/A

Sean Hemphill vs Gradus Kraus

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Sean Hemphill

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

55.97%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

6.4 / 1.0909

Implied

15.63%

Diff

40.35%

ROI

258.22%

Profit

-1.0000

Shurretta Metcalf vs Amanda Galle

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Shurretta Metcalf

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

91.68%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

2.43 / 1.5263

Implied

41.15%

Diff

50.53%

ROI

122.79%

Profit

-1.0000

John Parker vs Nikolas Charalampous

08 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Nikolas Charalampous

Verdict

PENDING

Win %

78.92%

Outcome

PENDING

Odds

2.75 / 1.4444

Implied

69.23%

Diff

9.69%

ROI

13.99%

Profit

N/A

Paul Kroll vs Charles Conwell

02 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Charles Conwell

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

50.00%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

4.3 / 1.1818

Implied

84.62%

Diff

-34.62%

ROI

-40.91%

Profit

N/A

Raúl Curiel vs Quinton Randall

02 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Quinton Randall

Verdict

INCORRECT

Win %

78.92%

Outcome

LOSS

Odds

1.0769 / 6.8

Implied

16.13%

Diff

62.79%

ROI

389.29%

Profit

-1.0000

Fabian Macias vs Aaron Coley

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Fabian Macias

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

89.66%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

1.0625 / 7.6

Implied

94.12%

Diff

-4.46%

ROI

-4.74%

Profit

N/A

Yeyery Castillo vs Dalis Kaleiopu

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Dalis Kaleiopu

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

87.21%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

11 / 1.05

Implied

95.24%

Diff

-8.02%

ROI

-8.43%

Profit

N/A

Jorge Valencia vs Joel Iriarte

01 Aug 2026

PASS

Lean

Joel Iriarte

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

74.65%

Outcome

NO_BET

Odds

17 / 1.01

Implied

99.01%

Diff

-24.36%

ROI

-24.60%

Profit

N/A

Lee Reeves vs Gary Cully

01 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

Gary Cully

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

91.68%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

2.06 / 1.7143

Implied

58.33%

Diff

33.35%

ROI

57.17%

Profit

0.7143

William Zepeda vs Lamont Roach

01 Aug 2026

BET

Lean

William Segura

Verdict

CORRECT

Win %

74.65%

Outcome

WIN

Odds

2.64 / 1.4651

Implied

37.88%

Diff

36.77%

ROI

97.07%

Profit

1.6400

Model: height reach delta

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