Jesse Rodriguez vs Antonio Vargas
14 Jun 2026
Lean
Antonio Vargas
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
53.00%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
1.0333 / 15
Implied
8.00%
Diff
45.00%
ROI
562.46%
Profit
-1.0000
Data as of: 2026-06-14 18:07:35 UTC
Results only confirm and affect headline metrics when winner + closing odds available.
Model-derived value vs market odds. Limited sample size.
Jesse Rodriguez vs Antonio Vargas · WINNER: Jesse Rodriguez · INCORRECT
Bantamweight · 14 Jun 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 1.0333 / 15 · VALUE · Pick Antonio Vargas 53%
Jasmine Artiga vs Nataly Hernandez · STATUS: Pending · PENDING
Super flyweight · 14 Jun 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.2353 / 3.9 · VALUE · Pick Jasmine Artiga 79%
Stephen McKenna vs Casey Streeter · WINNER: Stephen McKenna · CORRECT
Super welterweight · 06 Jun 2026 · KO/TKO · 1/8 · 1.125 / 6.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Stephen McKenna 87%
Mario Vergiev vs Leon Hughes · WINNER: Leon Hughes · CORRECT
Light heavyweight · 06 Jun 2026 · TKO · N/A · 9 / 1.071 · NO VALUE · Pick Leon Hughes 92%
Ivan Dychko vs Harvey Dykes · WINNER: Ivan Dychko · CORRECT
Heavyweight · 06 Jun 2026 · SD · N/A · 1.1 / 7 · VALUE · Pick Ivan Dychko 92% · ROI +0.9%
Jack Massey vs Cheavon Clarke · WINNER: Cheavon Clarke · INCORRECT
Cruiserweight · 06 Jun 2026 · TKO · R9 · 1.7143 / 2.1 · VALUE · Pick Jack Massey 86%
Lee Cutler vs Aaron Sutton · WINNER: Lee Cutler · INCORRECT
Middleweight · 06 Jun 2026 · TKO · R9 · 1.1667 / 4.8 · VALUE · Pick Aaron Sutton 77%
Ryan Rozicki vs Chris Billam-Smith · WINNER: Chris Billam-Smith · CORRECT
Cruiserweight · 06 Jun 2026 · RTD · R9 · 3.6 / 1.2632 · NO VALUE · Pick Chris Billam-Smith 50%
Michael Angeletti vs Kenneth Llover · WINNER: Michael Angeletti · CORRECT
Bantamweight · 06 Jun 2026 · SD · N/A · 2 / 1.8333 · VALUE · Pick Michael Angeletti 92% · ROI +118.2%
Luis Nery vs John Casimero · WINNER: John Casimero · CORRECT
Featherweight · 06 Jun 2026 · TKO · N/A · 1.8 / 2.1 · VALUE · Pick John Casimero 62% · ROI +85.3%
Jesse Rodriguez vs Antonio Vargas · WINNER: Jesse Rodriguez · INCORRECT
Bantamweight · 14 Jun 2026 · TKO · 11/12 · 1.0333 / 15 · VALUE · Pick Antonio Vargas 53%
Jasmine Artiga vs Nataly Hernandez · STATUS: Pending · PENDING
Super flyweight · 14 Jun 2026 · N/A · N/A · 1.2353 / 3.9 · VALUE · Pick Jasmine Artiga 79%
Stephen McKenna vs Casey Streeter · WINNER: Stephen McKenna · CORRECT
Super welterweight · 06 Jun 2026 · KO/TKO · 1/8 · 1.125 / 6.5 · NO VALUE · Pick Stephen McKenna 87%
Mario Vergiev vs Leon Hughes · WINNER: Leon Hughes · CORRECT
Light heavyweight · 06 Jun 2026 · TKO · N/A · 9 / 1.071 · NO VALUE · Pick Leon Hughes 92%
Ivan Dychko vs Harvey Dykes · WINNER: Ivan Dychko · CORRECT
Heavyweight · 06 Jun 2026 · SD · N/A · 1.1 / 7 · VALUE · Pick Ivan Dychko 92% · ROI +0.9%
Jack Massey vs Cheavon Clarke · WINNER: Cheavon Clarke · INCORRECT
Cruiserweight · 06 Jun 2026 · TKO · R9 · 1.7143 / 2.1 · VALUE · Pick Jack Massey 86%
Lee Cutler vs Aaron Sutton · WINNER: Lee Cutler · INCORRECT
Middleweight · 06 Jun 2026 · TKO · R9 · 1.1667 / 4.8 · VALUE · Pick Aaron Sutton 77%
Ryan Rozicki vs Chris Billam-Smith · WINNER: Chris Billam-Smith · CORRECT
Cruiserweight · 06 Jun 2026 · RTD · R9 · 3.6 / 1.2632 · NO VALUE · Pick Chris Billam-Smith 50%
Michael Angeletti vs Kenneth Llover · WINNER: Michael Angeletti · CORRECT
Bantamweight · 06 Jun 2026 · SD · N/A · 2 / 1.8333 · VALUE · Pick Michael Angeletti 92% · ROI +118.2%
Luis Nery vs John Casimero · WINNER: John Casimero · CORRECT
Featherweight · 06 Jun 2026 · TKO · N/A · 1.8 / 2.1 · VALUE · Pick John Casimero 62% · ROI +85.3%
Unconfirmed results stay visible for reference; summary metrics use confirmed win/loss strategy bets.
Bets
16
ROI
-9.52%
Profit
-1.5233
Avg Odds
5.5329
Accuracy
37.50%
Win/Loss
28
Avg Diff
43.02%
Tracked
30
Strategy Comparison
1u flat stake| Strategy | Bets | Profit | ROI | Accuracy | Avg Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Locked value only Active | 16 | -1.5233 | -9.52% | 37.50% | 43.02% |
| Any positive diff | 16 | -1.5233 | -9.52% | 37.50% | 43.02% |
| Diff vs implied >= 5% | 15 | -1.6233 | -10.82% | 33.33% | 45.83% |
| Diff vs implied >= 10% | 14 | -0.6233 | -4.45% | 35.71% | 48.53% |
| Model confidence >= 60% | 23 | 2.2048 | 9.59% | 69.57% | 16.22% |
| All model leans | 28 | -1.5952 | -5.70% | 60.71% | 17.49% |
| Underdog positive diff | 14 | -2.2900 | -16.36% | 28.57% | 47.37% |
Value only Active
16 bets
ROI -9.52% · Profit -1.5233 · Accuracy 37.50%
+Diff
16 bets
ROI -9.52% · Profit -1.5233 · Accuracy 37.50%
+5% diff
15 bets
ROI -10.82% · Profit -1.6233 · Accuracy 33.33%
+10% diff
14 bets
ROI -4.45% · Profit -0.6233 · Accuracy 35.71%
60%+ model
23 bets
ROI 9.59% · Profit 2.2048 · Accuracy 69.57%
All leans
28 bets
ROI -5.70% · Profit -1.5952 · Accuracy 60.71%
Dog +diff
14 bets
ROI -16.36% · Profit -2.2900 · Accuracy 28.57%
| Date | Bout | Odds | Model Lean | Win % | Implied % | Diff vs Implied | ROI % | Action | Outcome | Profit | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | Jesse Rodriguez vs Antonio Vargas | 1.0333 / 15 | Antonio Vargas | 53.00% | 8.00% | 45.00% | 562.46% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 14 Jun 2026 | Jasmine Artiga vs Nataly Hernandez | 1.2353 / 3.9 | Jasmine Artiga | 78.92% | 76.91% | 2.01% | 2.62% | BET | PENDING | N/A | PENDING |
| 06 Jun 2026 | Stephen McKenna vs Casey Streeter | 1.125 / 6.5 | Stephen McKenna | 87.21% | 88.89% | -1.68% | -1.88% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 06 Jun 2026 | Mario Vergiev vs Leon Hughes | 9 / 1.071 | Leon Hughes | 91.68% | 93.37% | -1.69% | -1.81% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 06 Jun 2026 | Ivan Dychko vs Harvey Dykes | 1.1 / 7 | Ivan Dychko | 91.68% | 90.91% | 0.77% | 0.85% | BET | WIN | 0.1000 | CORRECT |
| 06 Jun 2026 | Jack Massey vs Cheavon Clarke | 1.7143 / 2.1 | Jack Massey | 85.81% | 46.51% | 39.30% | 84.50% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 06 Jun 2026 | Lee Cutler vs Aaron Sutton | 1.1667 / 4.8 | Aaron Sutton | 76.85% | 22.22% | 54.63% | 245.84% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 06 Jun 2026 | Ryan Rozicki vs Chris Billam-Smith | 3.6 / 1.2632 | Chris Billam-Smith | 50.30% | 83.33% | -33.03% | -39.64% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 06 Jun 2026 | Michael Angeletti vs Kenneth Llover | 2 / 1.8333 | Michael Angeletti | 91.68% | 42.02% | 49.67% | 118.20% | BET | WIN | 1.3800 | CORRECT |
| 06 Jun 2026 | Luis Nery vs John Casimero | 1.8 / 2.1 | John Casimero | 61.77% | 33.33% | 28.44% | 85.32% | BET | WIN | 2.0000 | CORRECT |
| 05 Jun 2026 | Lerrone Richards vs Albert Ramírez | 5.5 / 1.1431 | Albert Duran | 82.64% | 93.37% | -10.74% | -11.50% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 31 May 2026 | Yokasta Valle vs Lourdes Juárez | 1.4167 / 2.8 | Yokasta Álvarez | 69.85% | 80.00% | -10.15% | -12.69% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | INCORRECT |
| 31 May 2026 | Cheyenne Hanson vs Amanda Serrano | 15 / 1.0222 | Amanda Serrano | 60.72% | 97.22% | -36.50% | -37.54% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 31 May 2026 | Raymond Ford vs O'Shaquie Foster | 2.65 / 1.5128 | O'Shanique Foster | 84.29% | 60.00% | 24.29% | 40.49% | BET | WIN | 0.6667 | CORRECT |
| 31 May 2026 | Miguel Flores vs Javon Woodard | 1.9524 / 1.8 | Miguel Flores | 56.86% | 48.78% | 8.08% | 16.56% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 30 May 2026 | Steve Claggett vs Adam Azim | 7 / 1.1 | Adam Azim | 69.85% | 90.91% | -21.06% | -23.17% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 30 May 2026 | Nazarena Romero vs María Corpus | 1.06 / 10 | Natalia Romero | 85.81% | 94.34% | -8.52% | -9.04% | PASS | NO_BET | N/A | CORRECT |
| 29 May 2026 | Sikho Nqothole vs Charlie Edwards | 2.1 / 1.7143 | Sikho Nqothole | 91.68% | 42.02% | 49.67% | 118.20% | BET | WIN | 1.3800 | CORRECT |
| 29 May 2026 | Murodjon Akhmadaliev vs Hegly Sanchez | 1.033 / 11 | Hegly Sanchez | 69.85% | 9.09% | 60.76% | 668.31% | BET | LOSS | -1.0000 | INCORRECT |
| 29 May 2026 | Asror Vokhidov vs Robeisy Carrazana | 9 / 1.05 | Robeisy Carrazana | 50.84% | 95.24% | -44.40% | -46.62% | PASS | PENDING | N/A | PENDING |
Jesse Rodriguez vs Antonio Vargas
14 Jun 2026
Lean
Antonio Vargas
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
53.00%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
1.0333 / 15
Implied
8.00%
Diff
45.00%
ROI
562.46%
Profit
-1.0000
Jasmine Artiga vs Nataly Hernandez
14 Jun 2026
Lean
Jasmine Artiga
Verdict
PENDING
Win %
78.92%
Outcome
PENDING
Odds
1.2353 / 3.9
Implied
76.91%
Diff
2.01%
ROI
2.62%
Profit
N/A
Stephen McKenna vs Casey Streeter
06 Jun 2026
Lean
Stephen McKenna
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
87.21%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.125 / 6.5
Implied
88.89%
Diff
-1.68%
ROI
-1.88%
Profit
N/A
06 Jun 2026
Lean
Leon Hughes
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
91.68%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
9 / 1.071
Implied
93.37%
Diff
-1.69%
ROI
-1.81%
Profit
N/A
06 Jun 2026
Lean
Ivan Dychko
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
91.68%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
1.1 / 7
Implied
90.91%
Diff
0.77%
ROI
0.85%
Profit
0.1000
06 Jun 2026
Lean
Jack Massey
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
85.81%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
1.7143 / 2.1
Implied
46.51%
Diff
39.30%
ROI
84.50%
Profit
-1.0000
06 Jun 2026
Lean
Aaron Sutton
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
76.85%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
1.1667 / 4.8
Implied
22.22%
Diff
54.63%
ROI
245.84%
Profit
-1.0000
Ryan Rozicki vs Chris Billam-Smith
06 Jun 2026
Lean
Chris Billam-Smith
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
50.30%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
3.6 / 1.2632
Implied
83.33%
Diff
-33.03%
ROI
-39.64%
Profit
N/A
Michael Angeletti vs Kenneth Llover
06 Jun 2026
Lean
Michael Angeletti
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
91.68%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
2 / 1.8333
Implied
42.02%
Diff
49.67%
ROI
118.20%
Profit
1.3800
06 Jun 2026
Lean
John Casimero
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
61.77%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
1.8 / 2.1
Implied
33.33%
Diff
28.44%
ROI
85.32%
Profit
2.0000
Lerrone Richards vs Albert Ramírez
05 Jun 2026
Lean
Albert Duran
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
82.64%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
5.5 / 1.1431
Implied
93.37%
Diff
-10.74%
ROI
-11.50%
Profit
N/A
Yokasta Valle vs Lourdes Juárez
31 May 2026
Lean
Yokasta Álvarez
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
69.85%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.4167 / 2.8
Implied
80.00%
Diff
-10.15%
ROI
-12.69%
Profit
N/A
Cheyenne Hanson vs Amanda Serrano
31 May 2026
Lean
Amanda Serrano
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
60.72%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
15 / 1.0222
Implied
97.22%
Diff
-36.50%
ROI
-37.54%
Profit
N/A
Raymond Ford vs O'Shaquie Foster
31 May 2026
Lean
O'Shanique Foster
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
84.29%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
2.65 / 1.5128
Implied
60.00%
Diff
24.29%
ROI
40.49%
Profit
0.6667
Miguel Flores vs Javon Woodard
31 May 2026
Lean
Miguel Flores
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
56.86%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
1.9524 / 1.8
Implied
48.78%
Diff
8.08%
ROI
16.56%
Profit
-1.0000
30 May 2026
Lean
Adam Azim
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
69.85%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
7 / 1.1
Implied
90.91%
Diff
-21.06%
ROI
-23.17%
Profit
N/A
Nazarena Romero vs María Corpus
30 May 2026
Lean
Natalia Romero
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
85.81%
Outcome
NO_BET
Odds
1.06 / 10
Implied
94.34%
Diff
-8.52%
ROI
-9.04%
Profit
N/A
Sikho Nqothole vs Charlie Edwards
29 May 2026
Lean
Sikho Nqothole
Verdict
CORRECT
Win %
91.68%
Outcome
WIN
Odds
2.1 / 1.7143
Implied
42.02%
Diff
49.67%
ROI
118.20%
Profit
1.3800
Murodjon Akhmadaliev vs Hegly Sanchez
29 May 2026
Lean
Hegly Sanchez
Verdict
INCORRECT
Win %
69.85%
Outcome
LOSS
Odds
1.033 / 11
Implied
9.09%
Diff
60.76%
ROI
668.31%
Profit
-1.0000
Asror Vokhidov vs Robeisy Carrazana
29 May 2026
Lean
Robeisy Carrazana
Verdict
PENDING
Win %
50.84%
Outcome
PENDING
Odds
9 / 1.05
Implied
95.24%
Diff
-44.40%
ROI
-46.62%
Profit
N/A